OHIO
BOBCATSOHIO
15-14 | Road
82
MASSACHUSETTS
MINUTEMENMASS
15-15 | Home
94
AI Model Win Probability
BOBCATS
0%
MINUTEMEN
100%
BOBCATS
--
MINUTEMEN
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
135.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
OHIO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Ohio)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around OHIO -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (OHIO)
OHIO By 1-7 points
27.2%
OHIO By 8-14 points
20.1%
MASS By 1-7 points
21.6%
MASS By 8-14 points
10.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Ohio
69
OHIO
Massachusetts
66
MASSACHUSETTS
Simulated Score
Ohio
74
OHIO
Massachusetts
78
MASSACHUSETTS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Bobcats
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Minutemen
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Bobcats (-1.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Sim
Minutemen (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u156.5
Loss
Proj Total: 135.0
D
Sim
u156.5
Win
Proj Total: 152.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 3, 2026
OHIO @ MASS
82 - 94
Jan 6, 2026
MASS @ OHIO
83 - 86
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+38.7% more
Ohio: 3.9
vs
Massachusetts: 2.4
Turnovers (L5)
+58.9% more
Massachusetts: 12.3
vs
Ohio: 7.7
Assists (L5)
+15.7% more
Massachusetts: 15.2
vs
Ohio: 13.1
Steals (L5)
+10.9% more
Massachusetts: 5.4
vs
Ohio: 4.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
OHIO Score
69.0
82
MASS Score
66.0
94
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.6 / 33.5
32.0 / 18.0
Assists
15.2 / 13.1
19.0 / 18.0
Blocks
2.4 / 3.9
1.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
45.5 / 44.1
53.0 / 40.0
Free Throw %
65.6 / 64.5
77.0 / 79.0
Rebounding
36.2 / 33.4
37.0 / 30.0
Steals
5.4 / 4.9
6.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
12.3 / 7.7
12.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
OHIO
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: -0.7
ATS +/-: -3.0
MASS
Advantage
17-16-0
(51.5%)
Margin: 2.6
ATS +/-: -0.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
OHIO
Advantage
12-18-0
(40.0%)
Margin: -0.7
ATS +/-: -3.0
MASS
12-20-0
(37.5%)
Margin: 2.6
ATS +/-: -0.9
⚖️ Over/Under
OHIO
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +1.5
MASS
20-12-0
O: 62.5% / U: 37.5%
Total +/-: +4.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MASS
OHIO
MASS
OHIO
ML
44%
14-18
65%
20-11
68%
21-10
63%
19-11
ATS
47%
15-17
68%
21-10
68%
21-10
63%
19-11
TTL
56%
18-14
61%
19-12
100%
31-0
100%
30-0
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