MISSOURI
TIGERSMIZ
20-9 | Road
64
OKLAHOMA
SOONERSOU
15-14 | Home
80
AI Model Win Probability
TIGERS
0%
SOONERS
100%
TIGERS
--
SOONERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
148.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-6.0
MISSOURI
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +6.0 points (Missouri)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around MIZ -6.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIZ)
MIZ By 1-7 points
26.8%
MIZ By 8-14 points
24.3%
OU By 1-7 points
16.9%
OU By 8-14 points
6.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Missouri
77
MISSOURI
Oklahoma
71
OKLAHOMA
Simulated Score
Missouri
75
MISSOURI
Oklahoma
72
OKLAHOMA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Tigers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Tigers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Tigers (-1.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Sim
Tigers (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u154.5
Win
Proj Total: 148.0
D
Sim
u154.5
Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 3, 2026
MIZ @ OU
64 - 80
Jan 24, 2026
OU @ MIZ
87 - 88
Mar 5, 2025
MIZ @ OU
84 - 96
Feb 12, 2025
OU @ MIZ
58 - 82
Mar 20, 2021
MIZ @ OU
68 - 72
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+18.2% more
Missouri: 12.8
vs
Oklahoma: 10.5
Turnovers (L5)
+14.1% more
Missouri: 10.7
vs
Oklahoma: 9.2
Steals (L5)
+11.6% more
Missouri: 7.0
vs
Oklahoma: 6.2
Field Goal % (L5)
+2.0%
Missouri: 48.9%
vs
Oklahoma: 46.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIZ Score
77.0
64
OU Score
71.0
80
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
45.6 / 35.4
55.0 / 33.0
Assists
10.5 / 12.8
18.0 / 10.0
Blocks
4.1 / 3.9
4.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
46.9 / 48.9
62.0 / 47.0
Free Throw %
81.5 / 76.5
60.0 / 50.0
Rebounding
32.1 / 33.5
28.0 / 26.0
Steals
6.2 / 7.0
8.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
9.2 / 10.7
15.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIZ
Advantage
20-13-0
(60.6%)
Margin: 3.8
ATS +/-: -2.3
OU
21-16-0
(56.8%)
Margin: 5.5
ATS +/-: +0.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIZ
14-19-0
(42.4%)
Margin: 3.8
ATS +/-: -2.3
OU
Advantage
17-19-1
(47.2%)
Margin: 5.5
ATS +/-: +0.9
⚖️ Over/Under
MIZ
16-16-1
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: -0.3
OU
19-18-0
O: 51.3% / U: 48.7%
Total +/-: +1.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
OU
MIZ
OU
MIZ
ML
78%
28-8
61%
20-13
59%
20-14
69%
22-10
ATS
72%
26-10
70%
23-10
59%
20-14
69%
22-10
TTL
75%
27-9
79%
26-7
100%
34-0
100%
32-0
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