NEVADA
WOLF PACKNEV
19-10 | Road
73
WYOMING
COWBOYSWYO
16-13 | Home
83
AI Model Win Probability
WOLF PACK
0%
COWBOYS
100%
WOLF PACK
--
COWBOYS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
147.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.0
NEVADA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.0 points (Nevada)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around NEV -5.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NEV)
NEV By 1-7 points
27.2%
NEV By 8-14 points
23.0%
WYO By 1-7 points
18.6%
WYO By 8-14 points
8.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Nevada
76
NEVADA
Wyoming
71
WYOMING
Simulated Score
Nevada
81
NEVADA
Wyoming
73
WYOMING
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Wolf Pack
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Wolf Pack
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Wolf Pack (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Sim
Wolf Pack (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o143.5
Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Sim
u143.5
Win
Proj Total: 154.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 3, 2026
NEV @ WYO
73 - 83
Jan 10, 2026
WYO @ NEV
83 - 92
Feb 25, 2025
WYO @ NEV
61 - 84
Dec 28, 2024
NEV @ WYO
63 - 66
Feb 20, 2024
WYO @ NEV
58 - 76
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+35.2% more
Nevada: 3.9
vs
Wyoming: 2.5
Turnovers (L5)
+32.2% more
Nevada: 12.9
vs
Wyoming: 8.8
Assists (L5)
+12.7% more
Nevada: 14.3
vs
Wyoming: 12.5
Rebounding (L5)
+11.3% more
Nevada: 36.9
vs
Wyoming: 32.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NEV Score
76.0
73
WYO Score
71.0
83
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
29.2 / 39.2
43.0 / 27.0
Assists
12.5 / 14.3
18.0 / 9.0
Blocks
2.5 / 3.9
2.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
40.3 / 42.8
63.0 / 46.0
Free Throw %
78.1 / 73.2
59.0 / 66.0
Rebounding
32.7 / 36.9
31.0 / 29.0
Steals
6.9 / 6.3
5.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
8.8 / 12.9
11.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NEV
Advantage
24-13-0
(64.9%)
Margin: 4.5
ATS +/-: +1.2
WYO
18-15-0
(54.6%)
Margin: 3.9
ATS +/-: +1.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NEV
Advantage
22-15-0
(59.5%)
Margin: 4.5
ATS +/-: +1.2
WYO
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: 3.9
ATS +/-: +1.3
⚖️ Over/Under
NEV
21-16-0
O: 56.8% / U: 43.2%
Total +/-: +2.7
WYO
16-16-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WYO
NEV
WYO
NEV
ML
52%
17-16
62%
23-14
70%
23-10
73%
27-10
ATS
64%
21-12
73%
27-10
70%
23-10
73%
27-10
TTL
64%
21-12
49%
18-19
100%
33-0
100%
37-0
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