AI Model Win Probability
PIRATES
0%
MUSKETEERS
100%
PIRATES
--
MUSKETEERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
152.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
SETON HALL
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Seton Hall)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around HALL -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (HALL)
HALL By 1-7 points
26.8%
HALL By 8-14 points
18.6%
XAV By 1-7 points
23.0%
XAV By 8-14 points
12.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Seton Hall
77
SETON HALL
Xavier
75
XAVIER
Simulated Score
Seton Hall
71
SETON HALL
Xavier
78
XAVIER
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Pirates
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Musketeers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Pirates (+1.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -2.0
D
Sim
Musketeers (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o144.5
Win
Proj Total: 152.0
D
Sim
u144.5
Win
Proj Total: 149.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 3, 2026
HALL @ XAV
77 - 68
Jan 28, 2026
XAV @ HALL
68 - 86
Feb 23, 2025
XAV @ HALL
73 - 66
Dec 31, 2024
HALL @ XAV
72 - 94
Feb 14, 2024
XAV @ HALL
70 - 88
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+62.1% more
Seton Hall: 7.8
vs
Xavier: 3.0
Steals (L5)
+38.5% more
Seton Hall: 9.6
vs
Xavier: 5.9
Turnovers (L5)
+32.5% more
Seton Hall: 13.4
vs
Xavier: 9.1
Assists (L5)
+26.3% more
Xavier: 14.7
vs
Seton Hall: 11.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
HALL Score
77.0
77
XAV Score
75.0
68
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
38.1 / 33.2
41.0 / 29.0
Assists
14.7 / 11.6
20.0 / 19.0
Blocks
3.0 / 7.8
7.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
48.5 / 43.7
42.0 / 47.0
Free Throw %
80.7 / 74.0
69.0 / 93.0
Rebounding
33.8 / 32.1
30.0 / 37.0
Steals
5.9 / 9.6
5.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
9.1 / 13.4
11.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
HALL
Advantage
21-12-0
(63.6%)
Margin: 5.0
ATS +/-: +1.6
XAV
15-18-0
(45.5%)
Margin: -2.3
ATS +/-: -1.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
HALL
Advantage
19-14-0
(57.6%)
Margin: 5.0
ATS +/-: +1.6
XAV
16-17-0
(48.5%)
Margin: -2.3
ATS +/-: -1.2
⚖️ Over/Under
HALL
13-20-0
O: 39.4% / U: 60.6%
Total +/-: -3.3
XAV
25-8-0
O: 75.8% / U: 24.2%
Total +/-: +6.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
XAV
HALL
XAV
HALL
ML
58%
19-14
41%
13-19
72%
23-9
60%
18-12
ATS
73%
24-9
50%
16-16
72%
23-9
60%
18-12
TTL
39%
13-20
53%
17-15
100%
32-0
100%
30-0