Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Golden Flashes @ Huskies KENT @ NIU

KENT STATE

GOLDEN FLASHESKENT

21-8  |  Road

102
FINAL
Tue, Mar 3 • 8:00 PM ET
NIU Convocation Center
View Odds Details →

NORTHERN ILLINOIS

HUSKIESNIU

9-19  |  Home

76
AI Model Win Probability
GOLDEN FLASHES
0%
📊
HUSKIES
100%
GOLDEN FLASHES --
HUSKIES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
147.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-15.0
KENT STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +15.0 points (Kent State)
Golden FlashesKENT (-3.5) 0 HuskiesNIU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Golden Flashes Cover

93.3%

Huskies Cover

6.7%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around KENT -15.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (KENT)

KENT By 1-7 points

15.3%

KENT By 8-14 points

25.3%

NIU By 1-7 points

4.8%

NIU By 8-14 points

1.1%

AI Model Projected Score
81
KENT STATE
66
NORTHERN ILLINOIS
Simulated Score
63
KENT STATE
75
NORTHERN ILLINOIS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Golden Flashes Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Huskies Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Golden Flashes (+10.5) Win
Proj Spread: -15.0
D
Sim Huskies (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -12.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u148.5 Loss
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Sim u148.5 Win
Proj Total: 138.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 3, 2026 KENT @ NIU 102 - 76
Jan 3, 2026 NIU @ KENT 73 - 77
Jan 7, 2025 KENT @ NIU 68 - 50
Feb 17, 2024 NIU @ KENT 47 - 85
Jan 16, 2024 KENT @ NIU 83 - 76
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +35.4% more
Kent State: 7.2 vs Northern Illinois: 4.7
Blocks (L5) +33.5% more
Kent State: 2.6 vs Northern Illinois: 1.8
Assists (L5) +23.9% more
Kent State: 14.8 vs Northern Illinois: 11.3
Rebounding (L5) +10.3% more
Kent State: 34.2 vs Northern Illinois: 30.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
KENT Score 81.0 102
NIU Score 66.0 76
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 29.8 / 37.8 23.0 / 45.0
Assists 11.3 / 14.8 10.0 / 21.0
Blocks 1.8 / 2.6 2.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 38.2 / 43.4 40.0 / 48.0
Free Throw % 65.2 / 63.9 72.0 / 83.0
Rebounding 30.7 / 34.2 33.0 / 41.0
Steals 4.7 / 7.2 2.0 / 9.0
Turnovers 12.9 / 12.8 16.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
98%TICKETS2%
90%MONEY10%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
63%TICKETS37%
57%MONEY43%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
54%TICKETS46%
29%MONEY71%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
KENT Advantage
24-10-0 (70.6%)
Margin: 4.7 ATS +/-: -2.4
NIU
9-21-0 (30.0%)
Margin: -8.3 ATS +/-: -3.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
KENT
12-20-0 (37.5%)
Margin: 4.7 ATS +/-: -2.4
NIU Advantage
13-15-0 (46.4%)
Margin: -8.3 ATS +/-: -3.1
⚖️ Over/Under
KENT
17-14-1
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2% Total +/-: +4.6
NIU
8-20-0
O: 28.6% / U: 71.4% Total +/-: -4.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NIU
KENT
NIU
KENT
ML
67% 20-10
53% 18-16
66% 19-10
65% 22-12
ATS
63% 19-11
65% 22-12
66% 19-10
65% 22-12
TTL
67% 20-10
44% 15-19
100% 29-0
100% 34-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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