Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Eagles @ Hokies BC @ VT

BOSTON COLLEGE

EAGLESBC

10-19  |  Road

63
FINAL
Tue, Mar 3 • 9:00 PM ET
Cassell Coliseum
View Odds Details →

VIRGINIA TECH

HOKIESVT

18-11  |  Home

72
AI Model Win Probability
EAGLES
0%
📊
HOKIES
100%
EAGLES --
HOKIES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
141.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.0
VIRGINIA TECH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
EaglesBC (-3.5) 0 HokiesVT (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Eagles Cover

46.0%

Hokies Cover

54.0%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around VT +1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (VT)

BC By 1-7 points

26.2%

BC By 8-14 points

16.9%

VT By 1-7 points

24.3%

VT By 8-14 points

13.7%

AI Model Projected Score
71
BOSTON COLLEGE
70
VIRGINIA TECH
Simulated Score
73
BOSTON COLLEGE
69
VIRGINIA TECH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Eagles Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Eagles Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Hokies (+11.5) Win
Proj Spread: +1.0
D
Sim Eagles (-0) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u142.5 Win
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Sim u142.5 Win
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 3, 2026 BC @ VT 63 - 72
Feb 18, 2025 VT @ BC 36 - 54
Jan 23, 2024 BC @ VT 71 - 76
Feb 8, 2023 BC @ VT 82 - 76
Dec 21, 2022 VT @ BC 65 - 70
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +40.0% more
Boston College: 2.3 vs Virginia Tech: 1.4
Turnovers (L5) +23.5% more
Boston College: 12.0 vs Virginia Tech: 9.1
Rebounding (L5) +12.2% more
Boston College: 32.9 vs Virginia Tech: 28.9
Assists (L5) +37.4% more
Virginia Tech: 16.1 vs Boston College: 11.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
BC Score 71.0 63
VT Score 70.0 72
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 40.0 / 28.4 46.0 / 23.0
Assists 16.1 / 11.7 9.0 / 9.0
Blocks 1.4 / 2.3 4.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 48.7 / 41.1 43.0 / 42.0
Free Throw % 80.3 / 68.0 83.0 / 40.0
Rebounding 28.9 / 32.9 32.0 / 36.0
Steals 4.9 / 4.7 3.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 9.1 / 12.0 12.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
2%TICKETS98%
17%MONEY83%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
41%TICKETS59%
50%MONEY50%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
45%TICKETS55%
15%MONEY85%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BC
11-20-0 (35.5%)
Margin: -3.3 ATS +/-: -0.3
VT Advantage
19-13-0 (59.4%)
Margin: 3.9 ATS +/-: +1.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BC
15-16-0 (48.4%)
Margin: -3.3 ATS +/-: -0.3
VT Advantage
17-14-1 (54.8%)
Margin: 3.9 ATS +/-: +1.4
⚖️ Over/Under
BC
12-19-0
O: 38.7% / U: 61.3% Total +/-: -3.7
VT
17-15-0
O: 53.1% / U: 46.9% Total +/-: +3.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
VT
BC
VT
BC
ML
53% 17-15
61% 19-12
72% 23-9
61% 17-11
ATS
59% 19-13
73% 22-8-1
72% 23-9
61% 17-11
TTL
69% 22-10
61% 19-12
100% 32-0
100% 28-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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