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TENNESSEE

VOLUNTEERSTENN

20-9  |  Road

78
FINAL
Tue, Mar 3 • 6:00 PM ET
Colonial Life Arena
View Odds Details →

SOUTH CAROLINA

GAMECOCKSSC

12-17  |  Home

59
AI Model Win Probability
VOLUNTEERS
100%
📊
GAMECOCKS
0%
VOLUNTEERS --
GAMECOCKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
162.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
SOUTH CAROLINA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (South Carolina)
VolunteersTENN (-3.5) 0 GamecocksSC (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Volunteers Cover

42.1%

Gamecocks Cover

57.9%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around SC -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SC)

TENN By 1-7 points

23.0%

TENN By 8-14 points

12.2%

SC By 1-7 points

26.8%

SC By 8-14 points

18.6%

AI Model Projected Score
80
TENNESSEE
82
SOUTH CAROLINA
Simulated Score
78
TENNESSEE
72
SOUTH CAROLINA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Gamecocks Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Volunteers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Gamecocks (+10.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -2.0
D
Sim Volunteers (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o141.5 Loss
Proj Total: 162.0
D
Sim u141.5 Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 3, 2026 TENN @ SC 78 - 59
Mar 8, 2025 SC @ TENN 65 - 75
Mar 6, 2024 TENN @ SC 66 - 59
Jan 30, 2024 SC @ TENN 63 - 59
Feb 25, 2023 SC @ TENN 45 - 85
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5) +13.0%
South Carolina: 78.8% vs Tennessee: 65.9%
Blocks (L5) +54.3% more
Tennessee: 3.8 vs South Carolina: 1.7
Rebounding (L5) +27.5% more
Tennessee: 43.2 vs South Carolina: 31.3
Steals (L5) +24.1% more
Tennessee: 7.8 vs South Carolina: 5.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
TENN Score 80.0 78
SC Score 82.0 59
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 28.7 / 28.5 33.0 / 29.0
Assists 11.1 / 14.0 10.0 / 22.0
Blocks 1.7 / 3.8 3.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 40.2 / 42.4 37.0 / 54.0
Free Throw % 78.8 / 65.9 70.0 / 67.0
Rebounding 31.3 / 43.2 23.0 / 34.0
Steals 5.9 / 7.8 4.0 / 9.0
Turnovers 8.7 / 9.5 11.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
96%TICKETS4%
85%MONEY15%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
73%TICKETS27%
76%MONEY24%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
61%TICKETS39%
51%MONEY49%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TENN Advantage
25-12-0 (67.6%)
Margin: 9.3 ATS +/-: -1.0
SC
13-19-0 (40.6%)
Margin: -1.5 ATS +/-: -1.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TENN Advantage
17-19-1 (47.2%)
Margin: 9.3 ATS +/-: -1.0
SC
14-18-0 (43.8%)
Margin: -1.5 ATS +/-: -1.0
⚖️ Over/Under
TENN
18-19-0
O: 48.7% / U: 51.3% Total +/-: 0.0
SC
14-16-2
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3% Total +/-: +1.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SC
TENN
SC
TENN
ML
72% 23-9
46% 17-20
68% 21-10
64% 21-12
ATS
69% 22-10
54% 20-17
68% 21-10
64% 21-12
TTL
50% 16-16
76% 28-9
100% 31-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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