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MONTREAL

CANADIENSMTL

33-17-9  |  Road

5
FINAL
Tue, Mar 3 • 10:00 PM ET
SAP Center at San Jose
View Odds Details →

SAN JOSE

SHARKSSJ

29-25-4  |  Home

7
Goaltending
Jakub Dobes
GOALTENDER

Jakub Dobes

#75 | Goaltender
@
Yaroslav Askarov
GOALTENDER

Yaroslav Askarov

#30 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Jakub Dobes None-None 6.20 0.778 --
Yaroslav Askarov None-None 5.02 0.861 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
6.20 GAA Ldr 5.02
0.778 Save % Ldr 0.861
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
CANADIENS
100%
📊
SHARKS
0%
CANADIENS --
SHARKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
SAN JOSE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (San Jose)
CanadiensMTL (-3.5) 0 SharksSJ (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Canadiens Cover

30.9%

Sharks Cover

69.1%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around SJ -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SJ)

MTL By 1 goal

12.1%

MTL By 2-3 goals

9.3%

SJ By 1 goal

19.7%

SJ By 2-3 goals

29.6%

AI Model Projected Score
3
MONTREAL
4
SAN JOSE
Simulated Score
2
MONTREAL
4
SAN JOSE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Sharks Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Sharks Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Sharks (+1.5) Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim Sharks (+0) Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o6.5 Win
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim u6.5 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 14, 2026 SJ @ MTL 4 - 2
Mar 3, 2026 MTL @ SJ 5 - 7
Feb 27, 2025 SJ @ MTL 3 - 4
Feb 4, 2025 MTL @ SJ 4 - 3
Jan 11, 2024 SJ @ MTL 3 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5) +33.8% more
San Jose: 25.1 vs Montreal: 18.8
Power Play % (L5) +22.2%
Montreal: 31.0% vs San Jose: 8.8%
Faceoff % (L5) +11.9%
Montreal: 56.1% vs San Jose: 44.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
MTL Score 3.0 5
SJ Score 4.0 7
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
71%TICKETS29%
78%MONEY22%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
33%TICKETS67%
76%MONEY24%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
75%TICKETS25%
95%MONEY5%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SJ
MTL
SJ
MTL
ML
33% 1-2
67% 2-1
0% 0-3
33% 1-2
ATS
33% 1-2
67% 2-1
33% 1-2
100% 3-0
TTL
33% 1-2
33% 1-2
33% 1-2
67% 2-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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