Home / NBA Projections NBA / Clippers @ Warriors LAC @ GS

LA

CLIPPERSLAC

28-31  |  Road

114
FINAL
Mon, Mar 2 • 10:00 PM ET
Chase Center
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GOLDEN STATE

WARRIORSGS

31-29  |  Home

101
AI Model Win Probability
CLIPPERS
100%
📊
WARRIORS
0%
CLIPPERS --
WARRIORS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
218.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-6.0
GOLDEN STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +6.0 points (Golden State)
ClippersLAC (-3.5) 0 WarriorsGS (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Clippers Cover

27.4%

Warriors Cover

72.6%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around GS -6.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (GS)

LAC By 1-7 points

16.9%

LAC By 8-14 points

6.8%

GS By 1-7 points

26.8%

GS By 8-14 points

24.3%

AI Model Projected Score
106
LA
112
GOLDEN STATE
Simulated Score
117
LA
112
GOLDEN STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Warriors Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Clippers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Warriors (+1) Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Sim Clippers (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o215.5 Loss
Proj Total: 218.0
D
Sim u215.5 Win
Proj Total: 229.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 15, 2026 GS @ LAC 126 - 121
Apr 12, 2026 GS @ LAC 110 - 115
Mar 2, 2026 LAC @ GS 114 - 101
Jan 5, 2026 GS @ LAC 102 - 103
Oct 28, 2025 LAC @ GS 79 - 98
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +35.9% more
Golden State: 33.0 vs LA: 24.3
Turnovers (L5) +14.1% more
Golden State: 14.8 vs LA: 13.0
Rebounding (L5) +12.2% more
Golden State: 45.0 vs LA: 40.1
Free Throw % (L5) +3.7%
LA: 82.0% vs Golden State: 78.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LAC Score 106.0 114
GS Score 112.0 101
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 32.4 / 34.3 35.0 / 29.0
Assists 33.0 / 24.3 26.0 / 18.0
Blocks 4.3 / 4.3 2.0 / 7.0
Field Goal % 47.0 / 49.0 39.0 / 49.0
Free Throw % 78.2 / 82.0 71.0 / 91.0
Rebounding 45.0 / 40.1 40.0 / 52.0
Steals 9.1 / 9.4 7.0 / 9.0
Turnovers 14.8 / 13.0 14.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
75%TICKETS25%
77%MONEY23%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
73%TICKETS27%
76%MONEY24%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
77%TICKETS23%
70%MONEY30%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAC Advantage
42-41-0 (50.6%)
Margin: 1.1 ATS +/-: -0.4
GS
38-46-0 (45.2%)
Margin: -0.7 ATS +/-: -2.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAC Advantage
42-41-0 (50.6%)
Margin: 1.1 ATS +/-: -0.4
GS
36-48-0 (42.9%)
Margin: -0.7 ATS +/-: -2.0
⚖️ Over/Under
LAC
41-42-0
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6% Total +/-: +2.2
GS
49-35-0
O: 58.3% / U: 41.7% Total +/-: +1.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
GS
LAC
GS
LAC
ML
55% 95-79
60% 59-40
58% 49-35
55% 45-37
ATS
58% 101-73
66% 65-33-1
58% 49-35
55% 45-37
TTL
77% 134-40
59% 58-40-1
100% 84-0
100% 82-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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