LAMAR
CARDINALSLAM
12-18 | Road
53
HOUSTON CHRISTIAN
HUSKIESHCU
11-19 | Home
75
AI Model Win Probability
CARDINALS
100%
HUSKIES
0%
CARDINALS
--
HUSKIES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
131.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
HOUSTON CHRISTIAN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Houston Christian)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around HCU -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (HCU)
LAM By 1-7 points
24.3%
LAM By 8-14 points
13.7%
HCU By 1-7 points
26.2%
HCU By 8-14 points
16.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Lamar
65
LAMAR
Houston Christian
66
HOUSTON CHRISTIAN
Simulated Score
Lamar
71
LAMAR
Houston Christian
78
HOUSTON CHRISTIAN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Huskies
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Huskies
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Huskies (+2.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim
Huskies (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u133.5
Win
Proj Total: 131.0
D
Sim
u133.5
Win
Proj Total: 149.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 2, 2026
LAM @ HCU
53 - 75
Jan 12, 2026
HCU @ LAM
56 - 64
Feb 22, 2025
LAM @ HCU
66 - 58
Jan 4, 2025
HCU @ LAM
61 - 63
Mar 6, 2024
HCU @ LAM
68 - 78
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+60.9% more
Houston Christian: 5.4
vs
Lamar: 3.4
Steals (L5)
+9.6% more
Houston Christian: 5.4
vs
Lamar: 4.9
Free Throw % (L5)
+5.7%
Houston Christian: 68.6%
vs
Lamar: 62.9%
Turnovers (L5)
+15.7% more
Lamar: 13.1
vs
Houston Christian: 11.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LAM Score
65.0
53
HCU Score
66.0
75
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
19.7 / 25.7
31.0 / 18.0
Assists
12.0 / 12.2
16.0 / 9.0
Blocks
5.4 / 3.4
5.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
41.6 / 41.5
53.0 / 33.0
Free Throw %
68.6 / 62.9
75.0 / 54.0
Rebounding
32.0 / 35.0
36.0 / 35.0
Steals
5.4 / 4.9
11.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
11.0 / 13.1
14.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAM
Advantage
12-19-0
(38.7%)
Margin: 0.8
ATS +/-: -1.5
HCU
12-20-0
(37.5%)
Margin: -5.1
ATS +/-: -0.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAM
12-16-1
(42.9%)
Margin: 0.8
ATS +/-: -1.5
HCU
Advantage
14-15-1
(48.3%)
Margin: -5.1
ATS +/-: -0.9
⚖️ Over/Under
LAM
14-15-0
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7%
Total +/-: -1.1
HCU
14-16-0
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3%
Total +/-: -0.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
HCU
LAM
HCU
LAM
ML
68%
21-10
55%
16-13
81%
25-6
59%
17-12
ATS
58%
18-13
52%
15-14
81%
26-6
60%
18-12
TTL
68%
21-10
72%
21-8
100%
32-0
100%
30-0
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