Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Lions @ Privateers SELA @ UNO

SE LOUISIANA

LIONSSELA

8-22  |  Road

82
FINAL
Mon, Mar 2 • 8:00 PM ET
Lakefront Arena
View Odds Details →

NEW ORLEANS

PRIVATEERSUNO

14-16  |  Home

78
AI Model Win Probability
LIONS
0%
📊
PRIVATEERS
100%
LIONS --
PRIVATEERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
139.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.0
NEW ORLEANS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
LionsSELA (-3.5) 0 PrivateersUNO (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Lions Cover

46.0%

Privateers Cover

54.0%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around UNO +1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UNO)

SELA By 1-7 points

26.2%

SELA By 8-14 points

16.9%

UNO By 1-7 points

24.3%

UNO By 8-14 points

13.7%

AI Model Projected Score
70
SE LOUISIANA
69
NEW ORLEANS
Simulated Score
74
SE LOUISIANA
81
NEW ORLEANS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Lions Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Privateers Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Privateers (+6.5) Win
Proj Spread: +1.0
D
Sim Privateers (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u143.5 Loss
Proj Total: 139.0
D
Sim u143.5 Win
Proj Total: 155.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 2, 2026 SELA @ UNO 82 - 78
Jan 12, 2026 UNO @ SELA 79 - 76
Feb 1, 2025 UNO @ SELA 68 - 76
Jan 11, 2025 SELA @ UNO 91 - 71
Mar 10, 2024 UNO @ SELA 78 - 66
Key Model Drivers
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +3.8%
SE Louisiana: 26.1% vs New Orleans: 22.4%
Rebounding (L5) +29.9% more
New Orleans: 39.9 vs SE Louisiana: 30.7
Turnovers (L5) +15.8% more
New Orleans: 14.3 vs SE Louisiana: 12.3
Assists (L5) +13.7% more
New Orleans: 11.5 vs SE Louisiana: 10.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SELA Score 70.0 82
UNO Score 69.0 78
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 22.4 / 26.1 29.0 / 36.0
Assists 11.5 / 10.2 21.0 / 19.0
Blocks 3.5 / 3.3 5.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 43.3 / 43.7 48.0 / 44.0
Free Throw % 76.4 / 72.6 65.0 / 68.0
Rebounding 39.9 / 30.7 40.0 / 31.0
Steals 5.5 / 5.5 6.0 / 9.0
Turnovers 14.3 / 12.3 14.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
5%TICKETS95%
4%MONEY96%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
27%TICKETS73%
20%MONEY80%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
51%TICKETS49%
27%MONEY73%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SELA
9-22-0 (29.0%)
Margin: -5.4 ATS +/-: -0.9
UNO Advantage
15-18-0 (45.5%)
Margin: -3.2 ATS +/-: +3.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SELA
14-16-0 (46.7%)
Margin: -5.4 ATS +/-: -0.9
UNO Advantage
19-14-0 (57.6%)
Margin: -3.2 ATS +/-: +3.4
⚖️ Over/Under
SELA
13-17-0
O: 43.3% / U: 56.7% Total +/-: -1.4
UNO
19-14-0
O: 57.6% / U: 42.4% Total +/-: +2.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UNO
SELA
UNO
SELA
ML
52% 16-15
70% 21-9
57% 17-13
66% 19-10
ATS
52% 16-15
60% 18-12
57% 17-13
67% 20-10
TTL
58% 18-13
70% 21-9
100% 30-0
100% 30-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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