AI Model Win Probability
EAGLES
100%
BISON
0%
EAGLES
--
BISON
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
154.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-10.0
HOWARD
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +10.0 points (Howard)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around HOW -10.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (HOW)
COPP By 1-7 points
10.7%
COPP By 8-14 points
3.3%
HOW By 1-7 points
23.0%
HOW By 8-14 points
27.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Coppin State
72
COPPIN STATE
Howard
82
HOWARD
Simulated Score
Coppin State
68
COPPIN STATE
Howard
75
HOWARD
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Bison
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bison
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bison (+19.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -10.0
D
Sim
Bison (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o140.5
Win
Proj Total: 154.0
D
Sim
u140.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 2, 2026
COPP @ HOW
70 - 90
Feb 2, 2026
HOW @ COPP
72 - 53
Feb 24, 2025
HOW @ COPP
61 - 72
Jan 13, 2025
COPP @ HOW
75 - 90
Feb 26, 2024
COPP @ HOW
69 - 78
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+72.1% more
Howard: 19.7
vs
Coppin State: 11.5
Rebounding (L5)
+27.5% more
Howard: 42.7
vs
Coppin State: 33.5
Steals (L5)
+24.0% more
Howard: 6.8
vs
Coppin State: 5.5
Field Goal % (L5)
+9.5%
Howard: 51.0%
vs
Coppin State: 41.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
COPP Score
72.0
70
HOW Score
82.0
90
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.0 / 27.2
44.0 / 33.0
Assists
19.7 / 11.5
26.0 / 12.0
Blocks
3.8 / 4.8
7.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
51.0 / 41.5
54.0 / 52.0
Free Throw %
73.3 / 64.5
74.0 / 56.0
Rebounding
42.7 / 33.5
35.0 / 22.0
Steals
6.8 / 5.5
13.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
12.9 / 14.0
15.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
COPP
7-24-0
(22.6%)
Margin: -14.9
ATS +/-: -1.6
HOW
Advantage
24-11-0
(68.6%)
Margin: 8.6
ATS +/-: +4.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
COPP
13-17-0
(43.3%)
Margin: -14.9
ATS +/-: -1.6
HOW
Advantage
22-8-1
(73.3%)
Margin: 8.6
ATS +/-: +4.9
⚖️ Over/Under
COPP
19-11-0
O: 63.3% / U: 36.7%
Total +/-: +2.1
HOW
14-17-0
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8%
Total +/-: 0.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
HOW
COPP
HOW
COPP
ML
59%
20-14
65%
20-11
71%
22-9
79%
19-5
ATS
59%
20-14
68%
21-10
71%
22-9
79%
19-5
TTL
62%
21-13
52%
16-15
100%
31-0
100%
24-0