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SOUTH CAROLINA STATE

BULLDOGSSCST

7-21  |  Road

61
FINAL
Mon, Mar 2 • 7:00 PM ET
Memorial Hall (DE)
View Odds Details →

DELAWARE STATE

HORNETSDSU

6-21  |  Home

59
AI Model Win Probability
BULLDOGS
100%
📊
HORNETS
0%
BULLDOGS --
HORNETS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
128.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-8.0
DELAWARE STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +8.0 points (Delaware State)
BulldogsSCST (-3.5) 0 HornetsDSU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Bulldogs Cover

21.2%

Hornets Cover

78.8%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around DSU -8.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DSU)

SCST By 1-7 points

13.7%

SCST By 8-14 points

4.8%

DSU By 1-7 points

25.3%

DSU By 8-14 points

26.2%

AI Model Projected Score
60
SOUTH CAROLINA STATE
68
DELAWARE STATE
Simulated Score
70
SOUTH CAROLINA STATE
74
DELAWARE STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Hornets Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Hornets Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Hornets (-1.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Sim Hornets (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u135.5 Win
Proj Total: 128.0
D
Sim u135.5 Win
Proj Total: 144.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 2, 2026 SCST @ DSU 61 - 59
Jan 26, 2026 DSU @ SCST 64 - 70
Feb 22, 2025 SCST @ DSU 94 - 88
Jan 11, 2025 DSU @ SCST 76 - 75
Mar 14, 2024 DSU @ SCST 71 - 58
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +63.6% more
South Carolina State: 3.3 vs Delaware State: 1.2
Steals (L5) +26.9% more
South Carolina State: 8.3 vs Delaware State: 6.1
Free Throw % (L5) +11.5%
South Carolina State: 73.2% vs Delaware State: 61.7%
Assists (L5) +11.1% more
South Carolina State: 12.3 vs Delaware State: 10.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SCST Score 60.0 61
DSU Score 68.0 59
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 28.1 / 27.3 20.0 / 36.0
Assists 10.9 / 12.3 3.0 / 9.0
Blocks 1.2 / 3.3 1.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 40.6 / 41.4 36.0 / 38.0
Free Throw % 61.7 / 73.2 83.0 / 86.0
Rebounding 30.6 / 29.3 33.0 / 28.0
Steals 6.1 / 8.3 8.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 14.0 / 15.3 11.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
44%TICKETS56%
62%MONEY38%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
49%TICKETS51%
71%MONEY29%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
51%TICKETS49%
32%MONEY68%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SCST Advantage
10-22-0 (31.3%)
Margin: -11.7 ATS +/-: -0.9
DSU
8-23-0 (25.8%)
Margin: -9.3 ATS +/-: -3.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SCST Advantage
13-16-1 (44.8%)
Margin: -11.7 ATS +/-: -0.9
DSU
9-17-0 (34.6%)
Margin: -9.3 ATS +/-: -3.1
⚖️ Over/Under
SCST
14-16-0
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3% Total +/-: +0.6
DSU
7-19-0
O: 26.9% / U: 73.1% Total +/-: -5.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DSU
SCST
DSU
SCST
ML
60% 18-12
61% 19-12
75% 18-6
74% 20-7
ATS
60% 18-12
68% 21-10
72% 18-7
74% 20-7
TTL
57% 17-13
52% 16-15
100% 25-0
100% 27-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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