WEBER STATE
WILDCATSWEB
16-14 | Road
60
PORTLAND STATE
VIKINGSPRST
18-10 | Home
84
AI Model Win Probability
WILDCATS
0%
VIKINGS
100%
WILDCATS
--
VIKINGS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
157.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-11.0
WEBER STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +11.0 points (Weber State)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around WEB -11.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WEB)
WEB By 1-7 points
21.6%
WEB By 8-14 points
27.4%
PRST By 1-7 points
9.3%
PRST By 8-14 points
2.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Weber State
84
WEBER STATE
Portland State
73
PORTLAND STATE
Simulated Score
Weber State
68
WEBER STATE
Portland State
72
PORTLAND STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Wildcats
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Vikings
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Wildcats (-4.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -11.0
D
Sim
Vikings (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o144.5
Loss
Proj Total: 157.0
D
Sim
u144.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 2, 2026
WEB @ PRST
60 - 84
Jan 1, 2026
PRST @ WEB
95 - 90
Feb 22, 2025
PRST @ WEB
58 - 60
Jan 23, 2025
WEB @ PRST
56 - 74
Feb 8, 2024
PRST @ WEB
72 - 84
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+21.7% more
Weber State: 12.2
vs
Portland State: 9.5
Free Throw % (L5)
+12.7%
Weber State: 79.1%
vs
Portland State: 66.4%
Field Goal % (L5)
+8.9%
Weber State: 50.2%
vs
Portland State: 41.3%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+3.4%
Weber State: 37.2%
vs
Portland State: 33.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
WEB Score
84.0
60
PRST Score
73.0
84
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.8 / 37.2
32.0 / 24.0
Assists
9.5 / 12.2
25.0 / 8.0
Blocks
2.9 / 1.6
5.0 / 0.0
Field Goal %
41.3 / 50.2
56.0 / 39.0
Free Throw %
66.4 / 79.1
64.0 / 64.0
Rebounding
34.7 / 35.7
36.0 / 33.0
Steals
7.0 / 6.3
11.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
12.2 / 9.4
7.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WEB
16-16-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 3.9
ATS +/-: +1.4
PRST
Advantage
20-11-0
(64.5%)
Margin: 6.4
ATS +/-: +0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WEB
16-14-0
(53.3%)
Margin: 3.9
ATS +/-: +1.4
PRST
Advantage
18-9-1
(66.7%)
Margin: 6.4
ATS +/-: +0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
WEB
16-14-0
O: 53.3% / U: 46.7%
Total +/-: +3.7
PRST
12-16-0
O: 42.9% / U: 57.1%
Total +/-: -0.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PRST
WEB
PRST
WEB
ML
65%
20-11
73%
22-8
71%
22-9
73%
22-8
ATS
71%
22-9
63%
19-11
71%
22-9
74%
23-8
TTL
47%
14-16-1
83%
25-5
100%
31-0
100%
31-0
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