Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Vandals @ Eagles IDHO @ EWU

IDAHO

VANDALSIDHO

16-14  |  Road

85
FINAL
Mon, Mar 2 • 9:00 PM ET
Reese Court
View Odds Details →

EASTERN WASHINGTON

EAGLESEWU

13-17  |  Home

81
AI Model Win Probability
VANDALS
100%
📊
EAGLES
0%
VANDALS --
EAGLES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
141.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-15.0
EASTERN WASHINGTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +15.0 points (Eastern Washington)
VandalsIDHO (-3.5) 0 EaglesEWU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Vandals Cover

6.7%

Eagles Cover

93.3%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around EWU -15.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (EWU)

IDHO By 1-7 points

4.8%

IDHO By 8-14 points

1.1%

EWU By 1-7 points

15.3%

EWU By 8-14 points

25.3%

AI Model Projected Score
63
IDAHO
78
EASTERN WASHINGTON
Simulated Score
73
IDAHO
82
EASTERN WASHINGTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Eagles Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Eagles Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Eagles (-3.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -15.0
D
Sim Eagles (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u151.5 Loss
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Sim u151.5 Win
Proj Total: 155.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 10, 2026 IDHO @ EWU 81 - 68
Mar 2, 2026 IDHO @ EWU 85 - 81
Jan 3, 2026 EWU @ IDHO 81 - 84
Feb 15, 2025 IDHO @ EWU 73 - 75
Jan 18, 2025 EWU @ IDHO 76 - 83
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +38.8% more
Eastern Washington: 7.9 vs Idaho: 5.7
Blocks (L5) +30.7% more
Eastern Washington: 4.4 vs Idaho: 3.4
Assists (L5) +30.1% more
Eastern Washington: 17.2 vs Idaho: 13.2
Field Goal % (L5) +13.9%
Eastern Washington: 56.5% vs Idaho: 42.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
IDHO Score 63.0 85
EWU Score 78.0 81
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 37.6 / 37.0 33.0 / 48.0
Assists 17.2 / 13.2 12.0 / 15.0
Blocks 4.4 / 3.4 11.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 56.5 / 42.6 54.0 / 48.0
Free Throw % 70.3 / 67.7 72.0 / 65.0
Rebounding 33.3 / 40.9 28.0 / 30.0
Steals 7.9 / 5.7 6.0 / 9.0
Turnovers 10.6 / 9.4 13.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
20%TICKETS80%
15%MONEY85%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
43%TICKETS57%
18%MONEY82%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
43%TICKETS57%
46%MONEY54%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
IDHO Advantage
21-15-0 (58.3%)
Margin: 5.1 ATS +/-: +0.7
EWU
14-19-0 (42.4%)
Margin: -0.9 ATS +/-: +2.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
IDHO
16-17-0 (48.5%)
Margin: 5.1 ATS +/-: +0.7
EWU Advantage
19-13-0 (59.4%)
Margin: -0.9 ATS +/-: +2.6
⚖️ Over/Under
IDHO
14-19-0
O: 42.4% / U: 57.6% Total +/-: -1.9
EWU
19-13-0
O: 59.4% / U: 40.6% Total +/-: +3.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
EWU
IDHO
EWU
IDHO
ML
64% 21-12
56% 20-16
69% 22-10
64% 21-12
ATS
64% 21-12
58% 21-15
69% 22-10
64% 21-12
TTL
48% 16-17
69% 25-11
100% 32-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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