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COLUMBUS

BLUE JACKETSCBJ

29-21-8  |  Road

5
FINAL
Mon, Mar 2 • 7:00 PM ET
Madison Square Garden
View Odds Details →

NEW YORK

RANGERSNYR

23-29-7  |  Home

4
Goaltending
Elvis Merzlikins
GOALTENDER

Elvis Merzlikins

#90 | G
@
Igor Shesterkin
GOALTENDER

Igor Shesterkin

#31 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Elvis Merzlikins None-None 3.93 0.879 --
Igor Shesterkin None-None 4.93 0.828 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
3.93 Ldr GAA 4.93
0.879 Ldr Save % 0.828
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
BLUE JACKETS
0%
📊
RANGERS
100%
BLUE JACKETS --
RANGERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
COLUMBUS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Columbus)
Blue JacketsCBJ (-3.5) 0 RangersNYR (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Blue Jackets Cover

84.1%

Rangers Cover

15.9%

-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around CBJ -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CBJ)

CBJ By 1 goal

17.5%

CBJ By 2-3 goals

37.2%

NYR By 1 goal

6.6%

NYR By 2-3 goals

3.7%

AI Model Projected Score
3
COLUMBUS
1
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
4
COLUMBUS
2
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Blue Jackets Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Blue Jackets Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Blue Jackets (+1.5) Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
D
Sim Blue Jackets (-0) Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u5.5 Loss
Proj Total: 4.0
D
Sim u5.5 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 19, 2026 NYR @ CBJ 3 - 6
Mar 2, 2026 CBJ @ NYR 5 - 4
Nov 15, 2025 NYR @ CBJ 2 - 1
Mar 15, 2025 NYR @ CBJ 4 - 0
Mar 9, 2025 CBJ @ NYR 7 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5) +26.9% more
Columbus: 5.3 vs New York: 3.9
Shots on Goal (L5) +16.1% more
Columbus: 23.9 vs New York: 20.1
Faceoff % (L5) +3.4%
Columbus: 55.4% vs New York: 52.0%
Blocked Shots (L5) +18.6% more
New York: 14.7 vs Columbus: 12.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CBJ Score 3.0 5
NYR Score 1.0 4
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
69%TICKETS31%
79%MONEY21%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
37%TICKETS63%
61%MONEY39%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
34%TICKETS66%
45%MONEY55%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NYR
CBJ
NYR
CBJ
ML
80% 4-1
50% 1-1
40% 2-3
100% 2-0
ATS
80% 4-1
50% 1-1
60% 3-2
50% 1-1
TTL
60% 3-2
50% 1-1
60% 3-2
0% 0-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Islanders Shuffle Defense Pairings in Wake of Romanov's ACL Tear
si 10 hours, 6 minutes ago
Islanders' Blue Line Shake-Up: Three Defenders Who Must Elevate …
si 16 hours, 6 minutes ago
Islanders Lock Up Czech Blueliner Vladimir Dravecky with Three-Y…
si 1 day, 10 hours ago
Rangers' Shesterkin and Fox Shine in ESPN Top 100 Despite Rankin…
si 1 day, 16 hours ago
Islanders Defy Doubters with Four Stars on ESPN Top 100 List
si 1 day, 16 hours ago