Home / NBA Projections NBA / Pelicans @ Clippers NO @ LAC

NEW ORLEANS

PELICANSNO

19-42  |  Road

117
FINAL
Sun, Mar 1 • 9:00 PM ET
Intuit Dome
View Odds Details →

LA

CLIPPERSLAC

27-31  |  Home

137
AI Model Win Probability
PELICANS
100%
📊
CLIPPERS
0%
PELICANS --
CLIPPERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
218.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-12.0
LA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +12.0 points (LA)
PelicansNO (-3.5) 0 ClippersLAC (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Pelicans Cover

11.5%

Clippers Cover

88.5%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around LAC -12.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAC)

NO By 1-7 points

8.0%

NO By 8-14 points

2.2%

LAC By 1-7 points

20.1%

LAC By 8-14 points

27.2%

AI Model Projected Score
103
NEW ORLEANS
115
LA
Simulated Score
112
NEW ORLEANS
117
LA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Clippers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Clippers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Clippers (-8) Win
Proj Spread: -12.0
D
Sim Clippers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u224.5 Loss
Proj Total: 218.0
D
Sim u224.5 Win
Proj Total: 229.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 19, 2026 LAC @ NO 99 - 105
Mar 18, 2026 LAC @ NO 109 - 124
Mar 1, 2026 NO @ LAC 117 - 137
Oct 31, 2025 NO @ LAC 124 - 126
Apr 2, 2025 NO @ LAC 98 - 114
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5) +3.0%
LA: 81.5% vs New Orleans: 78.4%
Blocks (L5) +41.9% more
New Orleans: 8.5 vs LA: 4.9
Assists (L5) +25.7% more
New Orleans: 29.4 vs LA: 21.9
Rebounding (L5) +15.9% more
New Orleans: 48.9 vs LA: 41.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NO Score 103.0 117
LAC Score 115.0 137
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 27.9 / 34.6 47.0 / 36.0
Assists 21.9 / 29.4 29.0 / 22.0
Blocks 4.9 / 8.5 3.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 46.5 / 48.0 54.0 / 45.0
Free Throw % 81.5 / 78.4 83.0 / 83.0
Rebounding 41.1 / 48.9 38.0 / 41.0
Steals 8.6 / 8.4 11.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 15.0 / 16.9 9.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
14%TICKETS86%
21%MONEY79%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
48%TICKETS52%
40%MONEY60%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
67%TICKETS33%
68%MONEY32%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NO
26-56-0 (31.7%)
Margin: -4.5 ATS +/-: +0.3
LAC Advantage
42-41-0 (50.6%)
Margin: 1.1 ATS +/-: -0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NO Advantage
45-36-1 (55.6%)
Margin: -4.5 ATS +/-: +0.3
LAC
42-41-0 (50.6%)
Margin: 1.1 ATS +/-: -0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
NO
41-41-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +0.7
LAC
41-42-0
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6% Total +/-: +2.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAC
NO
LAC
NO
ML
60% 59-40
62% 98-61
55% 45-37
58% 48-35
ATS
66% 65-33-1
68% 107-51-1
55% 45-37
58% 48-35
TTL
59% 58-40-1
75% 119-40
100% 82-0
100% 83-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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