Home / NBA Projections NBA / Cavaliers @ Nets CLE @ BKN

CLEVELAND

CAVALIERSCLE

37-24  |  Road

106
FINAL
Sun, Mar 1 • 3:30 PM ET
Barclays Center
View Odds Details →

BROOKLYN

NETSBKN

15-44  |  Home

102
AI Model Win Probability
CAVALIERS
0%
📊
NETS
100%
CAVALIERS --
NETS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
237.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+5.0
BROOKLYN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
CavaliersCLE (-3.5) 0 NetsBKN (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Cavaliers Cover

30.9%

Nets Cover

69.1%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around BKN +5.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BKN)

CLE By 1-7 points

27.2%

CLE By 8-14 points

23.0%

BKN By 1-7 points

18.6%

BKN By 8-14 points

8.0%

AI Model Projected Score
121
CLEVELAND
116
BROOKLYN
Simulated Score
107
CLEVELAND
115
BROOKLYN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Cavaliers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Nets Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Nets (+12) Win
Proj Spread: +5.0
D
Sim Nets (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o223.5 Loss
Proj Total: 237.0
D
Sim u223.5 Win
Proj Total: 222.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 1, 2026 CLE @ BKN 106 - 102
Feb 19, 2026 BKN @ CLE 84 - 112
Oct 24, 2025 CLE @ BKN 131 - 124
Mar 11, 2025 BKN @ CLE 104 - 109
Feb 20, 2025 CLE @ BKN 110 - 97
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +54.5% more
Cleveland: 5.7 vs Brooklyn: 2.6
Rebounding (L5) +18.7% more
Cleveland: 43.2 vs Brooklyn: 35.1
Steals (L5) +16.1% more
Cleveland: 9.2 vs Brooklyn: 7.7
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +1.7%
Brooklyn: 37.4% vs Cleveland: 35.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CLE Score 121.0 106
BKN Score 116.0 102
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 37.4 / 35.7 34.0 / 48.0
Assists 27.3 / 28.4 27.0 / 25.0
Blocks 2.6 / 5.7 4.0 / 7.0
Field Goal % 46.6 / 47.3 51.0 / 49.0
Free Throw % 74.6 / 75.1 75.0 / 68.0
Rebounding 35.1 / 43.2 32.0 / 38.0
Steals 7.7 / 9.2 10.0 / 9.0
Turnovers 13.7 / 14.5 17.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
95%TICKETS5%
87%MONEY13%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
78%TICKETS22%
80%MONEY20%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
73%TICKETS27%
74%MONEY26%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CLE Advantage
60-40-0 (60.0%)
Margin: 2.8 ATS +/-: -2.4
BKN
20-62-0 (24.4%)
Margin: -10.0 ATS +/-: -1.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CLE
40-60-0 (40.0%)
Margin: 2.8 ATS +/-: -2.4
BKN Advantage
38-43-1 (46.9%)
Margin: -10.0 ATS +/-: -1.3
⚖️ Over/Under
CLE
52-48-0
O: 52.0% / U: 48.0% Total +/-: +0.9
BKN
37-45-0
O: 45.1% / U: 54.9% Total +/-: -0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BKN
CLE
BKN
CLE
ML
53% 50-45
60% 69-46
59% 48-34
56% 55-44
ATS
52% 48-44-3
67% 75-37-3
59% 48-34
56% 55-44
TTL
57% 54-41
59% 68-47
100% 82-0
100% 99-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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