MILWAUKEE
BUCKSMIL
26-32 | Road
97
CHICAGO
BULLSCHI
24-36 | Home
120
AI Model Win Probability
BUCKS
0%
BULLS
100%
BUCKS
--
BULLS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
231.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
MILWAUKEE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Milwaukee)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around MIL -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIL)
MIL By 1-7 points
27.2%
MIL By 8-14 points
20.1%
CHI By 1-7 points
21.6%
CHI By 8-14 points
10.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Milwaukee
117
MILWAUKEE
Chicago
114
CHICAGO
Simulated Score
Milwaukee
109
MILWAUKEE
Chicago
118
CHICAGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Bucks
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bulls
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Bucks (-3)
Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Sim
Bulls (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u231.5
Win
Proj Total: 231.0
D
Sim
u231.5
Win
Proj Total: 227.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 1, 2026
MIL @ CHI
97 - 120
Feb 3, 2026
CHI @ MIL
115 - 131
Dec 27, 2025
MIL @ CHI
112 - 103
Nov 7, 2025
CHI @ MIL
110 - 126
Oct 12, 2025
MIL @ CHI
127 - 121
Key Model Drivers
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+4.0%
Milwaukee: 38.7%
vs
Chicago: 34.7%
Field Goal % (L5)
+2.8%
Milwaukee: 48.1%
vs
Chicago: 45.3%
Turnovers (L5)
+39.8% more
Chicago: 20.4
vs
Milwaukee: 14.6
Steals (L5)
+29.7% more
Chicago: 8.5
vs
Milwaukee: 6.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIL Score
117.0
97
CHI Score
114.0
120
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.7 / 38.7
37.0 / 28.0
Assists
24.8 / 24.7
34.0 / 26.0
Blocks
4.2 / 3.4
8.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
45.3 / 48.1
51.0 / 37.0
Free Throw %
78.8 / 73.2
70.0 / 82.0
Rebounding
40.8 / 39.2
50.0 / 45.0
Steals
8.5 / 6.5
14.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
20.4 / 14.6
18.0 / 19.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIL
Advantage
32-50-0
(39.0%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: -3.0
CHI
31-51-0
(37.8%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIL
36-46-0
(43.9%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: -3.0
CHI
Advantage
39-43-0
(47.6%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
⚖️ Over/Under
MIL
39-43-0
O: 47.6% / U: 52.4%
Total +/-: +1.4
CHI
38-44-0
O: 46.3% / U: 53.7%
Total +/-: +0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHI
MIL
CHI
MIL
ML
56%
54-42
64%
61-35
57%
46-35
60%
49-32
ATS
65%
62-33-1
68%
65-31
57%
46-35
60%
49-32
TTL
58%
56-40
55%
53-43
100%
81-0
100%
81-0
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