SAN ANTONIO
SPURSSA
43-16 | Road
89
NEW YORK
KNICKSNY
38-22 | Home
114
AI Model Win Probability
SPURS
100%
KNICKS
0%
SPURS
--
KNICKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
222.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (New York)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around NY -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NY)
SA By 1-7 points
23.0%
SA By 8-14 points
12.2%
NY By 1-7 points
26.8%
NY By 8-14 points
18.6%
AI Model Projected Score
San Antonio
110
SAN ANTONIO
New York
112
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
San Antonio
110
SAN ANTONIO
New York
122
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Knicks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Knicks
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Knicks (-1)
Win
Proj Spread: -2.0
D
Sim
Knicks (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -12.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u226.5
Win
Proj Total: 222.0
D
Sim
u226.5
Win
Proj Total: 232.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jun 13, 2026
NY @ SA
94 - 90
Jun 10, 2026
SA @ NY
106 - 107
Jun 8, 2026
SA @ NY
115 - 111
Jun 5, 2026
NY @ SA
105 - 104
Jun 3, 2026
NY @ SA
105 - 95
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5)
+3.6%
New York: 78.0%
vs
San Antonio: 74.4%
Steals (L5)
+20.0% more
San Antonio: 9.9
vs
New York: 7.9
Blocks (L5)
+16.6% more
San Antonio: 6.4
vs
New York: 5.4
Assists (L5)
+12.0% more
San Antonio: 32.4
vs
New York: 28.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SA Score
110.0
89
NY Score
112.0
114
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
38.3 / 40.3
35.0 / 26.0
Assists
28.5 / 32.4
27.0 / 25.0
Blocks
5.4 / 6.4
3.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
47.5 / 48.7
44.0 / 42.0
Free Throw %
78.0 / 74.4
58.0 / 73.0
Rebounding
43.4 / 43.6
54.0 / 41.0
Steals
7.9 / 9.9
13.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
13.0 / 12.5
14.0 / 22.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SA
Advantage
75-31-0
(70.8%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.2
NY
70-32-0
(68.6%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SA
Advantage
60-44-2
(57.7%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.2
NY
58-44-0
(56.9%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.5
⚖️ Over/Under
SA
49-57-0
O: 46.2% / U: 53.8%
Total +/-: -1.1
NY
47-55-0
O: 46.1% / U: 53.9%
Total +/-: -1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NY
SA
NY
SA
ML
61%
114-72
60%
111-73
56%
57-45
58%
61-44
ATS
67%
124-62
58%
107-76-1
56%
57-45
58%
61-44
TTL
72%
133-53
74%
134-47-3
100%
102-0
100%
105-0
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