PHILADELPHIA
76ERSPHI
33-26 | Road
98
BOSTON
CELTICSBOS
39-20 | Home
114
AI Model Win Probability
76ERS
100%
CELTICS
0%
76ERS
--
CELTICS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
218.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-18.0
BOSTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +18.0 points (Boston)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around BOS -18.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BOS)
PHI By 1-7 points
2.7%
PHI By 8-14 points
0.5%
BOS By 1-7 points
10.7%
BOS By 8-14 points
21.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Philadelphia
100
PHILADELPHIA
Boston
118
BOSTON
Simulated Score
Philadelphia
110
PHILADELPHIA
Boston
115
BOSTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Celtics
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Celtics
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Celtics (-9.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -18.0
D
Sim
Celtics (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u220.0
Win
Proj Total: 218.0
D
Sim
u220.0
Win
Proj Total: 225.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
May 2, 2026
PHI @ BOS
109 - 100
Apr 30, 2026
BOS @ PHI
93 - 106
Apr 28, 2026
PHI @ BOS
113 - 97
Apr 26, 2026
BOS @ PHI
128 - 96
Apr 24, 2026
BOS @ PHI
108 - 100
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+57.8% more
Boston: 6.8
vs
Philadelphia: 4.3
Assists (L5)
+12.5% more
Boston: 28.7
vs
Philadelphia: 25.5
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+6.2%
Boston: 42.9%
vs
Philadelphia: 36.7%
Steals (L5)
+45.0% more
Philadelphia: 11.7
vs
Boston: 6.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PHI Score
100.0
98
BOS Score
118.0
114
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
42.9 / 36.7
33.0 / 39.0
Assists
28.7 / 25.5
27.0 / 21.0
Blocks
6.8 / 4.3
7.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
50.2 / 48.8
44.0 / 40.0
Free Throw %
81.1 / 84.3
86.0 / 73.0
Rebounding
47.5 / 44.7
59.0 / 37.0
Steals
6.4 / 11.7
4.0 / 10.0
Turnovers
12.7 / 13.3
15.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PHI
50-44-0
(53.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
BOS
Advantage
59-30-0
(66.3%)
Margin: 7.3
ATS +/-: +2.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PHI
50-44-0
(53.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
BOS
Advantage
51-38-0
(57.3%)
Margin: 7.3
ATS +/-: +2.2
⚖️ Over/Under
PHI
44-50-0
O: 46.8% / U: 53.2%
Total +/-: +1.4
BOS
32-57-0
O: 36.0% / U: 64.0%
Total +/-: -3.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BOS
PHI
BOS
PHI
ML
57%
61-46
63%
69-40
53%
47-41
48%
45-48
ATS
59%
61-43-3
65%
71-38
53%
47-41
48%
45-48
TTL
56%
60-47
55%
60-49
100%
88-0
100%
93-0
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