Home / NHL Projections NHL / Blues @ Wild STL @ MIN

ST. LOUIS

BLUESSTL

21-29-9  |  Road

3
FINAL
Sun, Mar 1 • 5:00 PM ET
Grand Casino Arena
View Odds Details →

MINNESOTA

WILDMIN

35-15-10  |  Home

1
Goaltending
Joel Hofer
GOALTENDER

Joel Hofer

#30 | Goaltender
@
Filip Gustavsson
GOALTENDER

Filip Gustavsson

#32 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Joel Hofer None-None 1.00 0.957 --
Filip Gustavsson None-None 2.05 0.913 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
1.00 Ldr GAA 2.05
0.957 Ldr Save % 0.913
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
BLUES
0%
📊
WILD
100%
BLUES --
WILD --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
ST. LOUIS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (St. Louis)
BluesSTL (-3.5) 0 WildMIN (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Blues Cover

84.1%

Wild Cover

15.9%

-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around STL -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (STL)

STL By 1 goal

17.5%

STL By 2-3 goals

37.2%

MIN By 1 goal

6.6%

MIN By 2-3 goals

3.7%

AI Model Projected Score
4
ST. LOUIS
2
MINNESOTA
Simulated Score
2
ST. LOUIS
4
MINNESOTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Blues Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Wild Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Blues (-1.5) Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
D
Sim Wild (+0) Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u6.5 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
D
Sim u6.5 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 13, 2026 MIN @ STL 3 - 6
Mar 1, 2026 STL @ MIN 3 - 1
Oct 9, 2025 MIN @ STL 5 - 0
Mar 15, 2025 STL @ MIN 5 - 1
Jan 7, 2025 STL @ MIN 4 - 6
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5) +18.8% more
St. Louis: 24.9 vs Minnesota: 20.3
Faceoff % (L5) +2.9%
St. Louis: 47.5% vs Minnesota: 44.7%
Blocked Shots (L5) +28.7% more
Minnesota: 15.0 vs St. Louis: 11.6
Takeaways (L5) +25.2% more
Minnesota: 5.2 vs St. Louis: 4.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
STL Score 4.0 3
MIN Score 2.0 1
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
7%TICKETS93%
12%MONEY88%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
19%TICKETS81%
10%MONEY90%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
56%TICKETS44%
80%MONEY20%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIN
STL
MIN
STL
ML
67% 2-1
33% 1-2
33% 1-2
67% 2-1
ATS
33% 1-2
67% 2-1
33% 1-2
33% 1-2
TTL
100% 3-0
50% 1-1-1
67% 2-1
50% 1-1-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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