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DEPAUL

BLUE DEMONSDEP

15-13  |  Road

62
FINAL
Sun, Mar 1 • 4:00 PM ET
Fiserv Forum
View Odds Details →

MARQUETTE

GOLDEN EAGLESMARQ

10-18  |  Home

51
AI Model Win Probability
BLUE DEMONS
0%
📊
GOLDEN EAGLES
100%
BLUE DEMONS --
GOLDEN EAGLES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
164.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+4.0
MARQUETTE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Blue DemonsDEP (-3.5) 0 Golden EaglesMARQ (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Blue Demons Cover

34.5%

Golden Eagles Cover

65.5%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around MARQ +4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MARQ)

DEP By 1-7 points

27.4%

DEP By 8-14 points

21.6%

MARQ By 1-7 points

20.1%

MARQ By 8-14 points

9.3%

AI Model Projected Score
84
DEPAUL
80
MARQUETTE
Simulated Score
66
DEPAUL
82
MARQUETTE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Blue Demons Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Golden Eagles Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Golden Eagles (+4.5) Win
Proj Spread: +4.0
D
Sim Golden Eagles (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -16.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o141.5 Loss
Proj Total: 164.0
D
Sim u141.5 Win
Proj Total: 148.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 1, 2026 DEP @ MARQ 62 - 51
Jan 16, 2026 MARQ @ DEP 75 - 80
Feb 11, 2025 DEP @ MARQ 58 - 68
Jan 14, 2025 MARQ @ DEP 85 - 83
Feb 21, 2024 DEP @ MARQ 71 - 105
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +25.2% more
Marquette: 2.9 vs DePaul: 2.3
Field Goal % (L5) +3.7%
Marquette: 48.5% vs DePaul: 44.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
DEP Score 84.0 62
MARQ Score 80.0 51
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 34.0 / 34.5 18.0 / 30.0
Assists 15.6 / 15.6 9.0 / 11.0
Blocks 2.9 / 2.3 6.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 48.5 / 44.8 38.0 / 38.0
Free Throw % 66.2 / 64.9 50.0 / 79.0
Rebounding 32.1 / 31.2 28.0 / 41.0
Steals 8.8 / 8.4 11.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 10.7 / 11.3 13.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
19%TICKETS81%
28%MONEY72%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
43%TICKETS57%
42%MONEY58%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
50%TICKETS50%
27%MONEY73%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DEP Advantage
16-16-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 0.7 ATS +/-: -0.5
MARQ
12-20-0 (37.5%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-: -1.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DEP Advantage
18-12-2 (60.0%)
Margin: 0.7 ATS +/-: -0.5
MARQ
12-19-1 (38.7%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-: -1.5
⚖️ Over/Under
DEP
11-21-0
O: 34.4% / U: 65.6% Total +/-: -5.1
MARQ
15-17-0
O: 46.9% / U: 53.1% Total +/-: -1.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MARQ
DEP
MARQ
DEP
ML
59% 19-13
59% 19-13
62% 20-12
80% 24-6
ATS
53% 17-15
50% 16-16
62% 20-12
80% 24-6
TTL
50% 16-16
53% 17-15
100% 32-0
100% 30-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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