IONA
GAELSIONA
17-13 | Road
69
MANHATTAN
JASPERSMAN
12-18 | Home
65
AI Model Win Probability
GAELS
0%
JASPERS
100%
GAELS
--
JASPERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
136.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-12.0
IONA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +12.0 points (Iona)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around IONA -12.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (IONA)
IONA By 1-7 points
20.1%
IONA By 8-14 points
27.2%
MAN By 1-7 points
8.0%
MAN By 8-14 points
2.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Iona
74
IONA
Manhattan
62
MANHATTAN
Simulated Score
Iona
65
IONA
Manhattan
72
MANHATTAN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Gaels
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Jaspers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Gaels (+2.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -12.0
D
Sim
Jaspers (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u151.5
Win
Proj Total: 136.0
D
Sim
u151.5
Win
Proj Total: 137.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 1, 2026
IONA @ MAN
69 - 65
Jan 24, 2026
MAN @ IONA
57 - 66
Mar 13, 2025
MAN @ IONA
65 - 77
Feb 21, 2025
MAN @ IONA
60 - 65
Jan 31, 2025
IONA @ MAN
55 - 76
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+51.1% more
Iona: 2.8
vs
Manhattan: 1.4
Turnovers (L5)
+29.2% more
Iona: 13.6
vs
Manhattan: 9.6
Assists (L5)
+21.7% more
Iona: 13.9
vs
Manhattan: 10.9
Rebounding (L5)
+21.0% more
Iona: 39.8
vs
Manhattan: 31.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
IONA Score
74.0
69
MAN Score
62.0
65
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
29.0 / 38.1
27.0 / 32.0
Assists
10.9 / 13.9
14.0 / 13.0
Blocks
1.4 / 2.8
2.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
41.7 / 44.6
33.0 / 42.0
Free Throw %
78.1 / 73.6
84.0 / 61.0
Rebounding
31.5 / 39.8
34.0 / 48.0
Steals
6.9 / 5.7
14.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
9.6 / 13.6
12.0 / 23.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
IONA
Advantage
18-14-0
(56.3%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: 0.0
MAN
12-20-0
(37.5%)
Margin: -4.9
ATS +/-: -3.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
IONA
Advantage
19-13-0
(59.4%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: 0.0
MAN
11-19-1
(36.7%)
Margin: -4.9
ATS +/-: -3.1
⚖️ Over/Under
IONA
12-20-0
O: 37.5% / U: 62.5%
Total +/-: -1.6
MAN
13-18-0
O: 41.9% / U: 58.1%
Total +/-: +2.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MAN
IONA
MAN
IONA
ML
52%
16-15
41%
13-19
68%
21-10
62%
20-12
ATS
52%
16-15
53%
17-15
69%
22-10
62%
20-12
TTL
77%
24-7
66%
21-11
100%
32-0
100%
32-0
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