NORTH TEXAS
MEAN GREENUNT
16-13 | Road
62
UAB
BLAZERSUAB
18-10 | Home
58
AI Model Win Probability
MEAN GREEN
100%
BLAZERS
0%
MEAN GREEN
--
BLAZERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
157.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
UAB
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (UAB)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UAB -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UAB)
UNT By 1-7 points
21.6%
UNT By 8-14 points
10.7%
UAB By 1-7 points
27.2%
UAB By 8-14 points
20.1%
AI Model Projected Score
North Texas
77
NORTH TEXAS
UAB
80
UAB
Simulated Score
North Texas
68
NORTH TEXAS
UAB
72
UAB
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Blazers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Blazers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Blazers (+5.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Sim
Blazers (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o142.5
Loss
Proj Total: 157.0
D
Sim
u142.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 1, 2026
UNT @ UAB
62 - 58
Jan 31, 2026
UAB @ UNT
72 - 68
Mar 15, 2025
UAB @ UNT
66 - 56
Feb 3, 2025
UNT @ UAB
61 - 64
Dec 31, 2024
UAB @ UNT
75 - 78
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+80.4% more
UAB: 4.2
vs
North Texas: 2.4
Steals (L5)
+22.2% more
UAB: 8.4
vs
North Texas: 6.9
Assists (L5)
+9.8% more
UAB: 13.5
vs
North Texas: 12.3
Free Throw % (L5)
+2.0%
UAB: 70.0%
vs
North Texas: 68.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UNT Score
77.0
62
UAB Score
80.0
58
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
29.2 / 31.4
25.0 / 35.0
Assists
13.5 / 12.3
6.0 / 11.0
Blocks
4.2 / 2.4
5.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
43.3 / 44.3
39.0 / 42.0
Free Throw %
70.0 / 68.0
65.0 / 60.0
Rebounding
36.7 / 34.2
35.0 / 35.0
Steals
8.4 / 6.9
3.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
9.0 / 8.7
12.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UNT
19-14-0
(57.6%)
Margin: 3.5
ATS +/-: -0.7
UAB
Advantage
20-12-0
(62.5%)
Margin: 5.4
ATS +/-: -0.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UNT
Advantage
17-14-0
(54.8%)
Margin: 3.5
ATS +/-: -0.7
UAB
15-16-0
(48.4%)
Margin: 5.4
ATS +/-: -0.5
⚖️ Over/Under
UNT
15-16-0
O: 48.4% / U: 51.6%
Total +/-: -0.2
UAB
14-17-0
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8%
Total +/-: -1.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UAB
UNT
UAB
UNT
ML
59%
19-13
70%
23-10
41%
13-19
59%
19-13
ATS
56%
18-14
52%
17-16
41%
13-19
59%
19-13
TTL
69%
22-10
67%
22-11
100%
32-0
100%
32-0
Contextual Game News
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