Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Green Wave @ Bulls TULN @ USF

TULANE

GREEN WAVETULN

17-11  |  Road

62
FINAL
Sun, Mar 1 • 12:00 PM ET
Yuengling Center
View Odds Details →

SOUTH FLORIDA

BULLSUSF

20-8  |  Home

90
AI Model Win Probability
GREEN WAVE
100%
📊
BULLS
0%
GREEN WAVE --
BULLS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
157.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
SOUTH FLORIDA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (South Florida)
Green WaveTULN (-3.5) 0 BullsUSF (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Green Wave Cover

46.0%

Bulls Cover

54.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around USF -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (USF)

TULN By 1-7 points

24.3%

TULN By 8-14 points

13.7%

USF By 1-7 points

26.2%

USF By 8-14 points

16.9%

AI Model Projected Score
78
TULANE
79
SOUTH FLORIDA
Simulated Score
69
TULANE
72
SOUTH FLORIDA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Bulls Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Bulls Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Bulls (+14.5) Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim Bulls (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o155.5 Loss
Proj Total: 157.0
D
Sim u155.5 Win
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 1, 2026 TULN @ USF 62 - 90
Jan 28, 2026 USF @ TULN 97 - 83
Jan 11, 2025 USF @ TULN 70 - 73
Mar 5, 2024 TULN @ USF 72 - 85
Feb 18, 2023 TULN @ USF 84 - 66
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5) +35.8% more
South Florida: 43.3 vs Tulane: 31.9
Steals (L5) +30.5% more
South Florida: 10.3 vs Tulane: 7.9
Assists (L5) +10.4% more
South Florida: 13.9 vs Tulane: 12.6
Free Throw % (L5) +6.6%
South Florida: 79.3% vs Tulane: 72.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
TULN Score 78.0 62
USF Score 79.0 90
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 31.2 / 32.3 32.0 / 29.0
Assists 13.9 / 12.6 22.0 / 13.0
Blocks 4.1 / 5.6 0.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 40.2 / 42.6 45.0 / 37.0
Free Throw % 79.3 / 72.7 84.0 / 67.0
Rebounding 43.3 / 31.9 43.0 / 32.0
Steals 10.3 / 7.9 8.0 / 4.0
Turnovers 10.7 / 11.7 9.0 / 18.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
7%TICKETS93%
33%MONEY67%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
56%TICKETS44%
48%MONEY52%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
54%TICKETS46%
61%MONEY39%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TULN
18-15-0 (54.6%)
Margin: -3.2 ATS +/-: -2.7
USF Advantage
25-9-0 (73.5%)
Margin: 11.7 ATS +/-: +1.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TULN
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: -3.2 ATS +/-: -2.7
USF Advantage
18-15-0 (54.6%)
Margin: 11.7 ATS +/-: +1.9
⚖️ Over/Under
TULN
13-18-1
O: 41.9% / U: 58.1% Total +/-: -1.2
USF
15-18-0
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6% Total +/-: +1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
USF
TULN
USF
TULN
ML
61% 20-13
70% 23-10
52% 16-15
47% 15-17
ATS
61% 20-13
62% 20-12-1
52% 16-15
47% 15-17
TTL
52% 17-16
55% 18-15
100% 31-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Chicago Bulls Open Training Camp with New Regime and Roster Batt…
si 1 week, 2 days ago
Norman Powell Unveils His Ultimate UCLA Starting Five
yahoo 3 weeks, 5 days ago
Illinois vs. Duke: Can the Illini Ride Their Week 1 Momentum to …
si 3 weeks, 6 days ago
Chicago Bulls Rookie Gets Notable Message From NBA Analyst After…
yahoo 2 months, 3 weeks ago
For the WNBA, NIL has skyrocketed visibility, creating unprecede…
hastingstribune 3 months ago