LA SALLE
EXPLORERSLAS
8-20 | Road
64
DAVIDSON
WILDCATSDAV
17-11 | Home
71
AI Model Win Probability
EXPLORERS
100%
WILDCATS
0%
EXPLORERS
--
WILDCATS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
134.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-6.0
DAVIDSON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +6.0 points (Davidson)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around DAV -6.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DAV)
LAS By 1-7 points
16.9%
LAS By 8-14 points
6.8%
DAV By 1-7 points
26.8%
DAV By 8-14 points
24.3%
AI Model Projected Score
La Salle
64
LA SALLE
Davidson
70
DAVIDSON
Simulated Score
La Salle
65
LA SALLE
Davidson
72
DAVIDSON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Wildcats
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Wildcats
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Wildcats (+10.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Sim
Wildcats (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o133.5
Win
Proj Total: 134.0
D
Sim
u133.5
Win
Proj Total: 137.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 1, 2026
LAS @ DAV
64 - 71
Jan 15, 2025
DAV @ LAS
76 - 79
Feb 13, 2024
LAS @ DAV
56 - 71
Jan 24, 2023
DAV @ LAS
64 - 57
Jan 29, 2022
LAS @ DAV
69 - 77
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+106.3% more
Davidson: 5.2
vs
La Salle: 2.5
Assists (L5)
+22.8% more
Davidson: 14.8
vs
La Salle: 12.1
Field Goal % (L5)
+6.3%
Davidson: 44.2%
vs
La Salle: 37.9%
Steals (L5)
+39.6% more
La Salle: 7.4
vs
Davidson: 4.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LAS Score
64.0
64
DAV Score
70.0
71
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.9 / 33.9
40.0 / 33.0
Assists
14.8 / 12.1
14.0 / 10.0
Blocks
5.2 / 2.5
6.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
44.2 / 37.9
47.0 / 34.0
Free Throw %
59.7 / 69.4
62.0 / 85.0
Rebounding
37.0 / 35.3
37.0 / 31.0
Steals
4.5 / 7.4
7.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
11.4 / 13.4
13.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAS
9-23-0
(28.1%)
Margin: -6.9
ATS +/-: -0.3
DAV
Advantage
20-14-0
(58.8%)
Margin: 4.1
ATS +/-: +0.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAS
Advantage
14-17-0
(45.2%)
Margin: -6.9
ATS +/-: -0.3
DAV
13-17-2
(43.3%)
Margin: 4.1
ATS +/-: +0.9
⚖️ Over/Under
LAS
14-17-0
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8%
Total +/-: -0.5
DAV
14-18-0
O: 43.8% / U: 56.3%
Total +/-: -2.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DAV
LAS
DAV
LAS
ML
64%
21-12
69%
22-10
58%
19-14
69%
22-10
ATS
48%
16-17
78%
25-7
58%
19-14
69%
22-10
TTL
52%
17-16
66%
21-11
100%
33-0
100%
32-0
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