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FLORIDA

PANTHERSFLA

30-26-3  |  Road

4
FINAL
Sun, Mar 1 • 6:30 PM ET
UBS Arena
View Odds Details →

NEW YORK

ISLANDERSNYI

34-21-5  |  Home

5
Goaltending
Niko Mikkola
GOALTENDER

Niko Mikkola

#77 | Defense
@
Matthew Schaefer
GOALTENDER

Matthew Schaefer

#48 | Defense
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Niko Mikkola None-None -- -- --
Matthew Schaefer None-None -- -- --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
-- GAA --
-- Save % --
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
PANTHERS
0%
📊
ISLANDERS
100%
PANTHERS --
ISLANDERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
FLORIDA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Florida)
PanthersFLA (-3.5) 0 IslandersNYI (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Panthers Cover

84.1%

Islanders Cover

15.9%

-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around FLA -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (FLA)

FLA By 1 goal

17.5%

FLA By 2-3 goals

37.2%

NYI By 1 goal

6.6%

NYI By 2-3 goals

3.7%

AI Model Projected Score
3
FLORIDA
1
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
4
FLORIDA
3
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Panthers Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Panthers Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Panthers (+1.5) Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
D
Sim Panthers (-0) Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u5.5 Loss
Proj Total: 4.0
D
Sim u5.5 Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 28, 2026 FLA @ NYI 2 - 5
Mar 1, 2026 FLA @ NYI 4 - 5
Dec 7, 2025 NYI @ FLA 1 - 4
Mar 16, 2025 FLA @ NYI 2 - 4
Feb 2, 2025 NYI @ FLA 3 - 6
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5) +27.6% more
Florida: 30.9 vs New York: 22.4
Power Play % (L5) +23.7%
Florida: 27.3% vs New York: 3.6%
Blocked Shots (L5) +17.6% more
New York: 12.3 vs Florida: 10.5
Takeaways (L5) +14.7% more
New York: 4.1 vs Florida: 3.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
FLA Score 3.0 4
NYI Score 1.0 5
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
68%TICKETS32%
60%MONEY40%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
38%TICKETS62%
82%MONEY18%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
80%TICKETS20%
85%MONEY15%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NYI
FLA
NYI
FLA
ML
75% 3-1
0% 0-4
50% 2-2
0% 0-4
ATS
50% 2-2
25% 1-3
25% 1-3
50% 2-2
TTL
67% 2-1-1
25% 1-3
100% 3-0-1
0% 0-4
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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