BETHUNE-COOKMAN
WILDCATSBCU
16-13 | Road
82
SOUTHERN
JAGUARSSOU
13-15 | Home
79
AI Model Win Probability
WILDCATS
100%
JAGUARS
0%
WILDCATS
--
JAGUARS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
156.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
SOUTHERN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (Southern)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around SOU -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SOU)
BCU By 1-7 points
20.1%
BCU By 8-14 points
9.3%
SOU By 1-7 points
27.4%
SOU By 8-14 points
21.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Bethune-Cookman
76
BETHUNE-COOKMAN
Southern
80
SOUTHERN
Simulated Score
Bethune-Cookman
70
BETHUNE-COOKMAN
Southern
78
SOUTHERN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Jaguars
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Jaguars
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Jaguars (-2.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Sim
Jaguars (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o153.5
Win
Proj Total: 156.0
D
Sim
u153.5
Win
Proj Total: 148.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 28, 2026
BCU @ SOU
82 - 79
Jan 12, 2026
SOU @ BCU
77 - 73
Mar 1, 2025
SOU @ BCU
69 - 70
Jan 13, 2025
BCU @ SOU
53 - 69
Mar 14, 2024
BCU @ SOU
73 - 58
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+24.7% more
Southern: 8.8
vs
Bethune-Cookman: 7.1
Free Throw % (L5)
+6.2%
Southern: 71.9%
vs
Bethune-Cookman: 65.7%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+3.7%
Southern: 37.6%
vs
Bethune-Cookman: 33.9%
Turnovers (L5)
+27.7% more
Bethune-Cookman: 15.1
vs
Southern: 10.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BCU Score
76.0
82
SOU Score
80.0
79
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
37.6 / 33.9
47.0 / 20.0
Assists
16.1 / 15.3
18.0 / 14.0
Blocks
4.5 / 4.7
2.0 / 6.0
Field Goal %
45.0 / 51.0
45.0 / 52.0
Free Throw %
71.9 / 65.7
53.0 / 77.0
Rebounding
30.8 / 38.1
29.0 / 35.0
Steals
8.8 / 7.1
8.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
10.9 / 15.1
11.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BCU
Advantage
17-15-0
(53.1%)
Margin: -1.6
ATS +/-: -0.6
SOU
17-17-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 1.7
ATS +/-: -1.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BCU
Advantage
15-16-0
(48.4%)
Margin: -1.6
ATS +/-: -0.6
SOU
13-18-0
(41.9%)
Margin: 1.7
ATS +/-: -1.6
⚖️ Over/Under
BCU
18-13-0
O: 58.1% / U: 41.9%
Total +/-: +2.3
SOU
20-11-0
O: 64.5% / U: 35.5%
Total +/-: +4.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SOU
BCU
SOU
BCU
ML
67%
22-11
68%
21-10
70%
21-9
79%
22-6
ATS
64%
21-12
65%
20-11
70%
21-9
79%
22-6
TTL
42%
14-19
48%
15-16
100%
30-0
100%
28-0
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