AI Model Win Probability
WILDCATS
0%
GREAT DANES
100%
WILDCATS
--
GREAT DANES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
150.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+2.0
UALBANY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around UALB +2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UALB)
UNH By 1-7 points
26.8%
UNH By 8-14 points
18.6%
UALB By 1-7 points
23.0%
UALB By 8-14 points
12.2%
AI Model Projected Score
New Hampshire
76
NEW HAMPSHIRE
UAlbany
74
UALBANY
Simulated Score
New Hampshire
68
NEW HAMPSHIRE
UAlbany
72
UALBANY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Wildcats
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Great Danes
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Great Danes (+3)
Win
Proj Spread: +2.0
D
Sim
Great Danes (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o139.0
Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Sim
u139.0
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 28, 2026
UNH @ UALB
61 - 84
Jan 24, 2026
UALB @ UNH
72 - 80
Feb 22, 2025
UNH @ UALB
71 - 60
Jan 9, 2025
UALB @ UNH
61 - 57
Feb 29, 2024
UNH @ UALB
67 - 91
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5)
+11.1% more
New Hampshire: 36.0
vs
UAlbany: 32.0
Blocks (L5)
+292.5% more
UAlbany: 4.2
vs
New Hampshire: 1.1
Turnovers (L5)
+18.4% more
UAlbany: 12.9
vs
New Hampshire: 10.9
Field Goal % (L5)
+12.5%
UAlbany: 48.7%
vs
New Hampshire: 36.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UNH Score
76.0
61
UALB Score
74.0
84
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.0 / 29.6
41.0 / 26.0
Assists
11.4 / 11.3
22.0 / 12.0
Blocks
4.2 / 1.1
3.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
48.7 / 36.2
56.0 / 35.0
Free Throw %
70.4 / 64.6
64.0 / 52.0
Rebounding
32.0 / 36.0
40.0 / 31.0
Steals
5.4 / 5.3
8.0 / 10.0
Turnovers
12.9 / 10.9
13.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UNH
9-21-0
(30.0%)
Margin: -5.4
ATS +/-: -2.3
UALB
Advantage
11-21-0
(34.4%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: -0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UNH
Advantage
12-16-0
(42.9%)
Margin: -5.4
ATS +/-: -2.3
UALB
11-18-0
(37.9%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: -0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
UNH
15-13-0
O: 53.6% / U: 46.4%
Total +/-: +0.8
UALB
14-15-0
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7%
Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UALB
UNH
UALB
UNH
ML
55%
17-14
70%
19-8
71%
22-9
74%
20-7
ATS
77%
24-7
67%
18-9
72%
23-9
74%
20-7
TTL
61%
19-12
59%
16-11
100%
32-0
100%
27-0