Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Eagles @ Hatters FGCU @ STET

FLORIDA GULF COAST

EAGLESFGCU

14-16  |  Road

63
FINAL
Sat, Feb 28 • 2:00 PM ET
Edmunds Center
View Odds Details →

STETSON

HATTERSSTET

10-20  |  Home

78
AI Model Win Probability
EAGLES
0%
📊
HATTERS
100%
EAGLES --
HATTERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
161.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-11.0
FLORIDA GULF COAST
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +11.0 points (Florida Gulf Coast)
EaglesFGCU (-3.5) 0 HattersSTET (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Eagles Cover

86.4%

Hatters Cover

13.6%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around FGCU -11.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (FGCU)

FGCU By 1-7 points

21.6%

FGCU By 8-14 points

27.4%

STET By 1-7 points

9.3%

STET By 8-14 points

2.7%

AI Model Projected Score
86
FLORIDA GULF COAST
75
STETSON
Simulated Score
68
FLORIDA GULF COAST
72
STETSON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Eagles Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Hatters Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Eagles (+5.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -11.0
D
Sim Hatters (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o151.5 Loss
Proj Total: 161.0
D
Sim u151.5 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 28, 2026 FGCU @ STET 63 - 78
Feb 14, 2026 STET @ FGCU 76 - 78
Feb 20, 2025 FGCU @ STET 83 - 80
Feb 1, 2025 STET @ FGCU 56 - 82
Feb 17, 2024 FGCU @ STET 60 - 61
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +50.7% more
Florida Gulf Coast: 4.8 vs Stetson: 2.4
Steals (L5) +38.5% more
Florida Gulf Coast: 7.4 vs Stetson: 4.5
Rebounding (L5) +21.1% more
Florida Gulf Coast: 37.6 vs Stetson: 29.7
Turnovers (L5) +38.6% more
Stetson: 10.8 vs Florida Gulf Coast: 7.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
FGCU Score 86.0 63
STET Score 75.0 78
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 42.2 / 27.7 52.0 / 25.0
Assists 17.0 / 14.8 22.0 / 11.0
Blocks 2.4 / 4.8 2.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 51.0 / 44.1 56.0 / 40.0
Free Throw % 68.9 / 67.5 64.0 / 75.0
Rebounding 29.7 / 37.6 36.0 / 24.0
Steals 4.5 / 7.4 2.0 / 9.0
Turnovers 10.8 / 7.8 16.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
82%TICKETS18%
79%MONEY21%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
68%TICKETS32%
61%MONEY39%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
65%TICKETS35%
98%MONEY2%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
FGCU Advantage
16-18-0 (47.1%)
Margin: 1.0 ATS +/-: -1.6
STET
12-21-0 (36.4%)
Margin: -6.1 ATS +/-: +2.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
FGCU
9-22-1 (29.0%)
Margin: 1.0 ATS +/-: -1.6
STET Advantage
18-13-0 (58.1%)
Margin: -6.1 ATS +/-: +2.0
⚖️ Over/Under
FGCU
15-17-0
O: 46.9% / U: 53.1% Total +/-: +1.3
STET
14-17-0
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8% Total +/-: +1.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
STET
FGCU
STET
FGCU
ML
55% 18-15
58% 19-14
73% 24-9
67% 22-11
ATS
64% 21-12
61% 20-13
73% 24-9
67% 22-11
TTL
61% 20-13
61% 20-13
100% 33-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Houston Cougars Survive Georgia Southern Scare: Offensive Firepo…
si 1 week, 4 days ago
DeVonta Smith's Star Turn Lifts Eagles Over Titans in Thrilling …
crossingbroad 2 weeks, 4 days ago
Southern Miss Adds Sharpshooter Elliot Tulip to Bolster Perimete…
si 2 weeks, 6 days ago
K-State Quarterback Avery Johnson Shatters School Record in Domi…
headtopics 1 month ago
Bismarck's Eaglestaff Commits to UC San Diego for Extra Collegia…
kfyrtv 1 month, 2 weeks ago