CHARLESTON SOUTHERN
BUCCANEERSCHSO
14-16 | Road
92
UNC ASHEVILLE
BULLDOGSUNCA
14-15 | Home
75
AI Model Win Probability
BUCCANEERS
100%
BULLDOGS
0%
BUCCANEERS
--
BULLDOGS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
133.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
UNC ASHEVILLE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (UNC Asheville)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UNCA -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UNCA)
CHSO By 1-7 points
24.3%
CHSO By 8-14 points
13.7%
UNCA By 1-7 points
26.2%
UNCA By 8-14 points
16.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Charleston Southern
66
CHARLESTON SOUTHERN
UNC Asheville
67
UNC ASHEVILLE
Simulated Score
Charleston Southern
70
CHARLESTON SOUTHERN
UNC Asheville
78
UNC ASHEVILLE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Bulldogs
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bulldogs
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bulldogs (+4)
Loss
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim
Bulldogs (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u149.5
Loss
Proj Total: 133.0
D
Sim
u149.5
Win
Proj Total: 148.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 28, 2026
CHSO @ UNCA
92 - 75
Jan 3, 2026
UNCA @ CHSO
83 - 86
Mar 7, 2025
CHSO @ UNCA
60 - 80
Feb 15, 2025
CHSO @ UNCA
72 - 75
Jan 25, 2025
UNCA @ CHSO
69 - 61
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+14.0% more
UNC Asheville: 5.4
vs
Charleston Southern: 4.7
Turnovers (L5)
+35.0% more
Charleston Southern: 15.9
vs
UNC Asheville: 10.3
Assists (L5)
+33.7% more
Charleston Southern: 16.1
vs
UNC Asheville: 10.7
Steals (L5)
+11.9% more
Charleston Southern: 5.8
vs
UNC Asheville: 5.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CHSO Score
66.0
92
UNCA Score
67.0
75
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.3 / 37.3
22.0 / 64.0
Assists
10.7 / 16.1
7.0 / 20.0
Blocks
5.4 / 4.7
2.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
45.0 / 46.9
46.0 / 62.0
Free Throw %
60.9 / 61.7
59.0 / 67.0
Rebounding
36.4 / 40.9
29.0 / 32.0
Steals
5.1 / 5.8
4.0 / 3.0
Turnovers
10.3 / 15.9
9.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHSO
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: 3.3
ATS +/-: +2.0
UNCA
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: 0.5
ATS +/-: -0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHSO
14-15-0
(48.3%)
Margin: 3.3
ATS +/-: +2.0
UNCA
Advantage
15-14-0
(51.7%)
Margin: 0.5
ATS +/-: -0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
CHSO
19-10-0
O: 65.5% / U: 34.5%
Total +/-: +4.6
UNCA
15-14-0
O: 51.7% / U: 48.3%
Total +/-: -2.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UNCA
CHSO
UNCA
CHSO
ML
53%
16-14
43%
13-17
63%
19-11
67%
20-10
ATS
57%
17-13
50%
15-15
63%
19-11
68%
21-10
TTL
60%
18-12
50%
15-15
100%
30-0
100%
31-0
Contextual Game News
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