QUEENS UNIVERSITY
ROYALSQUC
18-12 | Road
79
CENTRAL ARKANSAS
BEARSCARK
19-11 | Home
84
AI Model Win Probability
ROYALS
0%
BEARS
100%
ROYALS
--
BEARS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
160.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+2.0
CENTRAL ARKANSAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around CARK +2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CARK)
QUC By 1-7 points
26.8%
QUC By 8-14 points
18.6%
CARK By 1-7 points
23.0%
CARK By 8-14 points
12.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Queens University
81
QUEENS UNIVERSITY
Central Arkansas
79
CENTRAL ARKANSAS
Simulated Score
Queens University
75
QUEENS UNIVERSITY
Central Arkansas
78
CENTRAL ARKANSAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Royals
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bears
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bears (+2.5)
Win
Proj Spread: +2.0
D
Sim
Bears (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u163.0
Push
Proj Total: 160.0
D
Sim
u163.0
Win
Proj Total: 153.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 8, 2026
QUC @ CARK
98 - 93
Feb 28, 2026
QUC @ CARK
79 - 84
Jan 28, 2026
CARK @ QUC
100 - 90
Feb 18, 2025
CARK @ QUC
72 - 89
Feb 5, 2025
QUC @ CARK
63 - 47
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+28.3% more
Queens University: 2.7
vs
Central Arkansas: 1.9
Field Goal % (L5)
+3.5%
Queens University: 52.1%
vs
Central Arkansas: 48.6%
Steals (L5)
+23.0% more
Central Arkansas: 8.8
vs
Queens University: 7.2
Turnovers (L5)
+12.6% more
Central Arkansas: 9.6
vs
Queens University: 8.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
QUC Score
81.0
79
CARK Score
79.0
84
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
40.2 / 36.8
22.0 / 29.0
Assists
15.0 / 14.9
13.0 / 15.0
Blocks
1.9 / 2.7
0.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
48.6 / 52.1
46.0 / 46.0
Free Throw %
78.1 / 77.0
88.0 / 94.0
Rebounding
31.2 / 31.4
36.0 / 31.0
Steals
8.8 / 7.2
9.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
9.6 / 8.5
10.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
QUC
21-14-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 0.9
ATS +/-: +0.6
CARK
Advantage
22-12-0
(64.7%)
Margin: 6.1
ATS +/-: +5.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
QUC
14-19-1
(42.4%)
Margin: 0.9
ATS +/-: +0.6
CARK
Advantage
19-10-3
(65.5%)
Margin: 6.1
ATS +/-: +5.7
⚖️ Over/Under
QUC
22-12-0
O: 64.7% / U: 35.3%
Total +/-: +5.9
CARK
16-16-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +3.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CARK
QUC
CARK
QUC
ML
67%
22-11
71%
25-10
70%
23-10
71%
24-10
ATS
61%
20-13
86%
30-5
70%
23-10
71%
24-10
TTL
50%
16-16-1
47%
16-18-1
100%
33-0
100%
34-0
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