MAINE
BLACK BEARSME
8-21 | Road
67
BINGHAMTON
BEARCATSBING
7-23 | Home
74
AI Model Win Probability
BLACK BEARS
0%
BEARCATS
100%
BLACK BEARS
--
BEARCATS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
154.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+2.0
BINGHAMTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around BING +2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BING)
ME By 1-7 points
26.8%
ME By 8-14 points
18.6%
BING By 1-7 points
23.0%
BING By 8-14 points
12.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Maine
78
MAINE
Binghamton
76
BINGHAMTON
Simulated Score
Maine
65
MAINE
Binghamton
70
BINGHAMTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Black Bears
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bearcats
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bearcats (+4.5)
Win
Proj Spread: +2.0
D
Sim
Bearcats (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o134.5
Win
Proj Total: 154.0
D
Sim
u134.5
Win
Proj Total: 135.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 28, 2026
ME @ BING
67 - 74
Jan 24, 2026
BING @ ME
63 - 79
Feb 22, 2025
ME @ BING
69 - 71
Jan 9, 2025
BING @ ME
71 - 82
Feb 29, 2024
ME @ BING
74 - 76
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+55.2% more
Maine: 9.1
vs
Binghamton: 4.1
Blocks (L5)
+66.2% more
Binghamton: 2.3
vs
Maine: 1.4
Rebounding (L5)
+13.8% more
Binghamton: 28.3
vs
Maine: 24.9
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+10.1%
Binghamton: 43.3%
vs
Maine: 33.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ME Score
78.0
67
BING Score
76.0
74
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
43.3 / 33.2
43.0 / 45.0
Assists
13.4 / 12.5
11.0 / 14.0
Blocks
2.3 / 1.4
2.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
53.3 / 46.9
54.0 / 46.0
Free Throw %
70.1 / 65.0
56.0 / 63.0
Rebounding
28.3 / 24.9
31.0 / 27.0
Steals
4.1 / 9.1
4.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
10.9 / 10.2
11.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ME
8-24-0
(25.0%)
Margin: -5.9
ATS +/-: -1.9
BING
Advantage
8-23-0
(25.8%)
Margin: -7.0
ATS +/-: -1.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ME
14-17-0
(45.2%)
Margin: -5.9
ATS +/-: -1.9
BING
Advantage
14-13-0
(51.8%)
Margin: -7.0
ATS +/-: -1.7
⚖️ Over/Under
ME
12-19-0
O: 38.7% / U: 61.3%
Total +/-: -2.8
BING
15-12-0
O: 55.6% / U: 44.4%
Total +/-: +5.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BING
ME
BING
ME
ML
67%
20-10
45%
14-17
57%
17-13
52%
16-15
ATS
73%
22-8
55%
17-14
57%
17-13
52%
16-15
TTL
70%
21-9
55%
17-14
100%
30-0
100%
31-0
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