LOYOLA MARYLAND
GREYHOUNDSL-MD
11-19 | Road
76
HOLY CROSS
CRUSADERSHC
10-20 | Home
62
AI Model Win Probability
GREYHOUNDS
100%
CRUSADERS
0%
GREYHOUNDS
--
CRUSADERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
153.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
HOLY CROSS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Holy Cross)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around HC -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (HC)
L-MD By 1-7 points
24.3%
L-MD By 8-14 points
13.7%
HC By 1-7 points
26.2%
HC By 8-14 points
16.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Loyola Maryland
76
LOYOLA MARYLAND
Holy Cross
77
HOLY CROSS
Simulated Score
Loyola Maryland
66
LOYOLA MARYLAND
Holy Cross
73
HOLY CROSS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Crusaders
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Crusaders
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Crusaders (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim
Crusaders (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o151.5
Loss
Proj Total: 153.0
D
Sim
u151.5
Win
Proj Total: 139.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 28, 2026
L-MD @ HC
76 - 62
Feb 15, 2026
HC @ L-MD
73 - 83
Jan 25, 2025
HC @ L-MD
70 - 65
Jan 2, 2025
L-MD @ HC
72 - 74
Feb 3, 2024
HC @ L-MD
70 - 67
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5)
+8.1%
Holy Cross: 78.2%
vs
Loyola Maryland: 70.1%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+6.7%
Holy Cross: 37.5%
vs
Loyola Maryland: 30.8%
Field Goal % (L5)
+5.3%
Holy Cross: 45.1%
vs
Loyola Maryland: 39.7%
Blocks (L5)
+58.8% more
Loyola Maryland: 3.4
vs
Holy Cross: 1.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
L-MD Score
76.0
76
HC Score
77.0
62
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
37.5 / 30.8
20.0 / 31.0
Assists
12.0 / 12.3
6.0 / 10.0
Blocks
1.4 / 3.4
6.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
45.1 / 39.7
39.0 / 44.0
Free Throw %
78.2 / 70.1
77.0 / 91.0
Rebounding
28.3 / 35.1
37.0 / 37.0
Steals
4.9 / 4.6
2.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
8.8 / 9.0
11.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
L-MD
Advantage
12-20-0
(37.5%)
Margin: -1.8
ATS +/-: -0.5
HC
11-22-0
(33.3%)
Margin: -5.1
ATS +/-: -0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
L-MD
Advantage
15-14-1
(51.7%)
Margin: -1.8
ATS +/-: -0.5
HC
15-15-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -5.1
ATS +/-: -0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
L-MD
17-13-0
O: 56.7% / U: 43.3%
Total +/-: +4.5
HC
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
HC
L-MD
HC
L-MD
ML
52%
16-15
53%
17-15
61%
19-12
66%
21-11
ATS
55%
17-14
56%
18-14
64%
21-12
66%
21-11
TTL
58%
18-13
44%
14-18
100%
33-0
100%
32-0
