Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Trailblazers @ Thunderbirds UTU @ SUU

UTAH TECH

TRAILBLAZERSUTU

18-12  |  Road

67
FINAL
Sat, Feb 28 • 8:30 PM ET
America First Events Center
View Odds Details →

SOUTHERN UTAH

THUNDERBIRDSSUU

9-19  |  Home

81
AI Model Win Probability
TRAILBLAZERS
0%
📊
THUNDERBIRDS
100%
TRAILBLAZERS --
THUNDERBIRDS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
147.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.0
UTAH TECH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.0 points (Utah Tech)
TrailblazersUTU (-3.5) 0 ThunderbirdsSUU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Trailblazers Cover

69.1%

Thunderbirds Cover

30.9%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around UTU -5.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UTU)

UTU By 1-7 points

27.2%

UTU By 8-14 points

23.0%

SUU By 1-7 points

18.6%

SUU By 8-14 points

8.0%

AI Model Projected Score
76
UTAH TECH
71
SOUTHERN UTAH
Simulated Score
72
UTAH TECH
78
SOUTHERN UTAH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Trailblazers Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Thunderbirds Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Trailblazers (+1.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Sim Thunderbirds (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u156.5 Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Sim u156.5 Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 28, 2026 UTU @ SUU 67 - 81
Jan 24, 2026 SUU @ UTU 91 - 102
Dec 29, 2025 SUU @ UTU 66 - 80
Mar 11, 2025 UTU @ SUU 72 - 65
Feb 27, 2025 SUU @ UTU 82 - 75
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +18.1% more
Utah Tech: 14.9 vs Southern Utah: 12.2
Blocks (L5) +91.4% more
Southern Utah: 5.2 vs Utah Tech: 2.7
Turnovers (L5) +60.9% more
Southern Utah: 17.9 vs Utah Tech: 11.1
Steals (L5) +31.0% more
Southern Utah: 6.3 vs Utah Tech: 4.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UTU Score 76.0 67
SUU Score 71.0 81
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 50.9 / 38.9 29.0 / 50.0
Assists 12.2 / 14.9 17.0 / 9.0
Blocks 5.2 / 2.7 3.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 49.4 / 50.0 48.0 / 44.0
Free Throw % 73.4 / 74.7 70.0 / 83.0
Rebounding 34.1 / 32.7 41.0 / 24.0
Steals 6.3 / 4.8 7.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 17.9 / 11.1 9.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
80%TICKETS20%
98%MONEY2%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
83%TICKETS17%
89%MONEY11%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
66%TICKETS34%
43%MONEY57%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UTU Advantage
19-15-0 (55.9%)
Margin: 1.9 ATS +/-: +1.8
SUU
10-22-0 (31.3%)
Margin: -3.2 ATS +/-: 0.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UTU Advantage
19-12-0 (61.3%)
Margin: 1.9 ATS +/-: +1.8
SUU
14-14-1 (50.0%)
Margin: -3.2 ATS +/-: 0.0
⚖️ Over/Under
UTU
17-14-0
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2% Total +/-: +4.1
SUU
17-12-0
O: 58.6% / U: 41.4% Total +/-: +3.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SUU
UTU
SUU
UTU
ML
61% 19-12
68% 23-11
68% 21-10
62% 21-13
ATS
71% 22-9
65% 22-12
69% 22-10
62% 21-13
TTL
52% 16-15
65% 22-12
100% 32-0
100% 34-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Big Ten Commissioner Tony Petitti Denies Any Expansion Talks Ami…
saturdaydownsouth 7 hours, 38 minutes ago
Duke's Guard Depth: Caleb Foster Mentors Deron Rippey Jr. as Blu…
si 1 week, 5 days ago
Robert Morris Makes History with Unprecedented Jersey Patch Deal…
yahoo 1 month, 2 weeks ago
Falcons' Future Outlook Dims in ESPN Rankings as QB Woes Persist
albanyherald 1 month, 2 weeks ago
Texas Southern Players' Protest Falls Short as Seton Hall Assist…
brobible 1 month, 2 weeks ago