Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Rainbow Warriors @ Titans HAW @ CSUF

HAWAI'I

RAINBOW WARRIORSHAW

20-7  |  Road

87
FINAL
Sat, Feb 28 • 7:00 PM ET
Titan Gym
View Odds Details →

CAL STATE FULLERTON

TITANSCSUF

15-14  |  Home

85
AI Model Win Probability
RAINBOW WARRIORS
100%
📊
TITANS
0%
RAINBOW WARRIORS --
TITANS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
149.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-15.0
CAL STATE FULLERTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +15.0 points (Cal State Fullerton)
Rainbow WarriorsHAW (-3.5) 0 TitansCSUF (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Rainbow Warriors Cover

6.7%

Titans Cover

93.3%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CSUF -15.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CSUF)

HAW By 1-7 points

4.8%

HAW By 8-14 points

1.1%

CSUF By 1-7 points

15.3%

CSUF By 8-14 points

25.3%

AI Model Projected Score
67
HAWAI'I
82
CAL STATE FULLERTON
Simulated Score
68
HAWAI'I
72
CAL STATE FULLERTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Titans Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Titans Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Titans (+3.5) Win
Proj Spread: -15.0
D
Sim Titans (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u158.5 Loss
Proj Total: 149.0
D
Sim u158.5 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 13, 2026 CSUF @ HAW 63 - 78
Feb 28, 2026 HAW @ CSUF 87 - 85
Dec 6, 2025 CSUF @ HAW 59 - 69
Feb 1, 2025 CSUF @ HAW 57 - 82
Jan 11, 2025 HAW @ CSUF 95 - 86
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +87.2% more
Cal State Fullerton: 17.8 vs Hawai'i: 9.5
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +6.7%
Cal State Fullerton: 39.6% vs Hawai'i: 32.9%
Field Goal % (L5) +4.1%
Cal State Fullerton: 49.2% vs Hawai'i: 45.1%
Steals (L5) +28.9% more
Hawai'i: 7.0 vs Cal State Fullerton: 5.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
HAW Score 67.0 87
CSUF Score 82.0 85
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 39.6 / 32.9 42.0 / 36.0
Assists 17.8 / 9.5 18.0 / 21.0
Blocks 3.7 / 3.9 1.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 49.2 / 45.1 47.0 / 47.0
Free Throw % 73.4 / 74.9 69.0 / 85.0
Rebounding 33.0 / 35.0 33.0 / 37.0
Steals 5.0 / 7.0 8.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 11.0 / 13.3 7.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
84%TICKETS16%
76%MONEY24%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
71%TICKETS29%
82%MONEY18%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
35%TICKETS65%
23%MONEY77%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
HAW Advantage
24-9-0 (72.7%)
Margin: 9.0 ATS +/-: -0.3
CSUF
18-16-0 (52.9%)
Margin: 1.3 ATS +/-: +3.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
HAW
13-18-0 (41.9%)
Margin: 9.0 ATS +/-: -0.3
CSUF Advantage
19-11-2 (63.3%)
Margin: 1.3 ATS +/-: +3.0
⚖️ Over/Under
HAW
13-18-0
O: 41.9% / U: 58.1% Total +/-: -0.1
CSUF
13-19-0
O: 40.6% / U: 59.4% Total +/-: +0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CSUF
HAW
CSUF
HAW
ML
68% 23-11
61% 20-13
76% 26-8
68% 21-10
ATS
68% 23-11
67% 22-11
76% 26-8
68% 21-10
TTL
59% 20-14
61% 20-13
100% 34-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Kansas Shakes Up Offensive Line: Amir Herring Promoted to Starti…
si 2 days, 7 hours ago
Melvin Council Jr. Wins Eligibility Appeal, Returns to Kansas fo…
kwch 4 days, 1 hour ago
Kansas Jayhawks Set Program Record with 706 Yards, Blank Middle …
si 5 days, 2 hours ago
UCLA's Unlikely Heroes: TaShawn James, Jalen Woods, and Semaj Mo…
si 5 days, 13 hours ago
Keyshawn Hall Wins Temporary Restraining Order, Cleared to Suit …
saturdaydownsouth 6 days, 7 hours ago