STONY BROOK
SEAWOLVESSTBK
17-12 | Road
58
HOFSTRA
PRIDEHOF
19-10 | Home
67
AI Model Win Probability
SEAWOLVES
0%
PRIDE
100%
SEAWOLVES
--
PRIDE
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
141.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+3.0
HOFSTRA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around HOF +3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (HOF)
STBK By 1-7 points
27.2%
STBK By 8-14 points
20.1%
HOF By 1-7 points
21.6%
HOF By 8-14 points
10.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Stony Brook
72
STONY BROOK
Hofstra
69
HOFSTRA
Simulated Score
Stony Brook
71
STONY BROOK
Hofstra
78
HOFSTRA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Seawolves
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Pride
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Pride (+12.5)
Win
Proj Spread: +3.0
D
Sim
Pride (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o137.5
Loss
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Sim
u137.5
Win
Proj Total: 149.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 28, 2026
STBK @ HOF
58 - 67
Jan 15, 2026
HOF @ STBK
71 - 76
Feb 27, 2025
HOF @ STBK
56 - 59
Feb 8, 2025
STBK @ HOF
80 - 75
Mar 11, 2024
STBK @ HOF
63 - 59
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+55.0% more
Stony Brook: 7.7
vs
Hofstra: 3.5
Turnovers (L5)
+34.1% more
Stony Brook: 12.1
vs
Hofstra: 8.0
Rebounding (L5)
+17.2% more
Hofstra: 37.7
vs
Stony Brook: 32.1
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+4.7%
Hofstra: 37.4%
vs
Stony Brook: 32.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
STBK Score
72.0
58
HOF Score
69.0
67
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
37.4 / 32.7
38.0 / 28.0
Assists
11.6 / 11.5
10.0 / 13.0
Blocks
4.3 / 4.0
7.0 / 0.0
Field Goal %
47.7 / 45.3
38.0 / 29.0
Free Throw %
72.2 / 72.6
77.0 / 67.0
Rebounding
37.7 / 32.1
40.0 / 39.0
Steals
3.5 / 7.7
7.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
8.0 / 12.1
14.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
STBK
17-15-0
(53.1%)
Margin: 0.6
ATS +/-: +1.4
HOF
Advantage
24-11-0
(68.6%)
Margin: 8.7
ATS +/-: +4.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
STBK
17-13-0
(56.7%)
Margin: 0.6
ATS +/-: +1.4
HOF
Advantage
21-12-0
(63.6%)
Margin: 8.7
ATS +/-: +4.0
⚖️ Over/Under
STBK
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +0.7
HOF
18-15-0
O: 54.6% / U: 45.5%
Total +/-: +0.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
HOF
STBK
HOF
STBK
ML
77%
27-8
61%
19-12
71%
25-10
71%
22-9
ATS
83%
29-6
61%
19-12
71%
25-10
71%
22-9
TTL
51%
18-17
65%
20-11
100%
35-0
100%
31-0
Contextual Game News
