Home / NBA Projections NBA / Pelicans @ Jazz NO @ UTAH

NEW ORLEANS

PELICANSNO

18-42  |  Road

115
FINAL
Sat, Feb 28 • 9:30 PM ET
Delta Center
View Odds Details →

UTAH

JAZZUTAH

18-41  |  Home

105
AI Model Win Probability
PELICANS
100%
📊
JAZZ
0%
PELICANS --
JAZZ --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
231.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-11.0
UTAH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +11.0 points (Utah)
PelicansNO (-3.5) 0 JazzUTAH (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Pelicans Cover

13.6%

Jazz Cover

86.4%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UTAH -11.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UTAH)

NO By 1-7 points

9.3%

NO By 8-14 points

2.7%

UTAH By 1-7 points

21.6%

UTAH By 8-14 points

27.4%

AI Model Projected Score
110
NEW ORLEANS
121
UTAH
Simulated Score
112
NEW ORLEANS
115
UTAH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Jazz Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Jazz Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Jazz (+5.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -11.0
D
Sim Jazz (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u244.5 Win
Proj Total: 231.0
D
Sim u244.5 Win
Proj Total: 227.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 7, 2026 UTAH @ NO 137 - 156
Feb 28, 2026 NO @ UTAH 115 - 105
Feb 26, 2026 NO @ UTAH 129 - 118
Mar 2, 2025 NO @ UTAH 128 - 121
Jan 20, 2025 UTAH @ NO 119 - 123
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +32.6% more
Utah: 13.4 vs New Orleans: 10.1
Turnovers (L5) +9.3% more
Utah: 17.3 vs New Orleans: 15.9
Blocks (L5) +37.4% more
New Orleans: 7.2 vs Utah: 4.5
Free Throw % (L5) +8.0%
New Orleans: 79.7% vs Utah: 71.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NO Score 110.0 115
UTAH Score 121.0 105
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 31.0 / 34.9 28.0 / 34.0
Assists 27.3 / 28.1 24.0 / 32.0
Blocks 4.5 / 7.2 5.0 / 11.0
Field Goal % 46.6 / 49.0 34.0 / 46.0
Free Throw % 71.7 / 79.7 82.0 / 76.0
Rebounding 41.5 / 44.3 40.0 / 58.0
Steals 13.4 / 10.1 10.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 17.3 / 15.9 7.0 / 19.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
76%TICKETS24%
58%MONEY42%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
59%TICKETS41%
48%MONEY52%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
37%TICKETS63%
28%MONEY72%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NO Advantage
26-56-0 (31.7%)
Margin: -4.5 ATS +/-: +0.3
UTAH
22-60-0 (26.8%)
Margin: -8.4 ATS +/-: -0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NO Advantage
45-36-1 (55.6%)
Margin: -4.5 ATS +/-: +0.3
UTAH
41-41-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -8.4 ATS +/-: -0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
NO
41-41-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +0.7
UTAH
49-33-0
O: 59.8% / U: 40.2% Total +/-: +5.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UTAH
NO
UTAH
NO
ML
60% 96-63
62% 98-61
48% 40-43
58% 48-35
ATS
68% 108-51
68% 107-51-1
48% 40-43
58% 48-35
TTL
75% 119-39-1
75% 119-40
100% 83-0
100% 83-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Luka Doncic Opens Up About Heartbreaking Season Away From His Da…
sportingnews 0 minutes ago
ATLAS League Launches to Crown World Champion in High School Bas…
yahoo 3 hours, 58 minutes ago
Bill Self's Revamped Kansas Roster Built for Another National Ti…
si 9 hours, 37 minutes ago
Luka Doncic Embraces Lakers Legacy: 'It's an Honor, Not Pressure…
yahoo 9 hours, 48 minutes ago
Phillies' 2027 Forecast: Four Farmhands Ready to Step Up
si 16 hours, 5 minutes ago