PORTLAND
TRAIL BLAZERSPOR
29-31 | Road
93
CHARLOTTE
HORNETSCHA
29-31 | Home
109
AI Model Win Probability
TRAIL BLAZERS
100%
HORNETS
0%
TRAIL BLAZERS
--
HORNETS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
242.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-10.0
CHARLOTTE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +10.0 points (Charlotte)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CHA -10.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHA)
POR By 1-7 points
10.7%
POR By 8-14 points
3.3%
CHA By 1-7 points
23.0%
CHA By 8-14 points
27.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Portland
116
PORTLAND
Charlotte
126
CHARLOTTE
Simulated Score
Portland
110
PORTLAND
Charlotte
115
CHARLOTTE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Hornets
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Hornets
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Hornets (-7.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -10.0
D
Sim
Hornets (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o229.5
Loss
Proj Total: 242.0
D
Sim
u229.5
Win
Proj Total: 225.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 10, 2026
CHA @ POR
103 - 101
Feb 28, 2026
POR @ CHA
93 - 109
Feb 22, 2025
CHA @ POR
88 - 141
Jan 24, 2025
POR @ CHA
102 - 97
Apr 3, 2024
POR @ CHA
89 - 86
Key Model Drivers
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+13.7%
Charlotte: 44.6%
vs
Portland: 30.9%
Assists (L5)
+13.5% more
Charlotte: 29.9
vs
Portland: 26.3
Free Throw % (L5)
+8.2%
Charlotte: 83.7%
vs
Portland: 75.5%
Field Goal % (L5)
+4.1%
Charlotte: 49.7%
vs
Portland: 45.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
POR Score
116.0
93
CHA Score
126.0
109
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
44.6 / 30.9
38.0 / 23.0
Assists
29.9 / 26.3
24.0 / 22.0
Blocks
5.0 / 6.8
0.0 / 7.0
Field Goal %
49.7 / 45.6
42.0 / 41.0
Free Throw %
83.7 / 75.5
68.0 / 63.0
Rebounding
47.1 / 45.2
55.0 / 39.0
Steals
9.5 / 9.2
11.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
16.0 / 16.6
16.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
POR
44-44-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: -0.4
CHA
Advantage
45-39-0
(53.6%)
Margin: 4.4
ATS +/-: +4.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
POR
46-42-0
(52.3%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: -0.4
CHA
Advantage
50-34-0
(59.5%)
Margin: 4.4
ATS +/-: +4.4
⚖️ Over/Under
POR
44-44-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: -1.0
CHA
32-52-0
O: 38.1% / U: 61.9%
Total +/-: -3.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHA
POR
CHA
POR
ML
61%
60-39
53%
56-49
48%
40-44
55%
49-40
ATS
60%
59-40
62%
65-39-1
48%
40-44
55%
49-40
TTL
58%
57-42
56%
58-46-1
100%
84-0
100%
89-0
Contextual Game News
Tyler Kolek's Girlfriend Spills: Knicks Parade Police Mix-Up Hap…
Cooper Flagg and Mavericks Face Media at NBA China Games in Macao
Matt Barnes: Clippers Are Cursed, Urges Steve Ballmer to Rebrand
ATLAS League Launches to Crown World Champion in High School Bas…
Bill Self's Revamped Kansas Roster Built for Another National Ti…