PURDUE FORT WAYNE
MASTODONSPFW
16-14 | Road
87
IU INDIANAPOLIS
JAGUARSIUIN
7-23 | Home
81
AI Model Win Probability
MASTODONS
100%
JAGUARS
0%
MASTODONS
--
JAGUARS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
151.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
IU INDIANAPOLIS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (IU Indianapolis)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around IUIN -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (IUIN)
PFW By 1-7 points
24.3%
PFW By 8-14 points
13.7%
IUIN By 1-7 points
26.2%
IUIN By 8-14 points
16.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Purdue Fort Wayne
75
PURDUE FORT WAYNE
IU Indianapolis
76
IU INDIANAPOLIS
Simulated Score
Purdue Fort Wayne
75
PURDUE FORT WAYNE
IU Indianapolis
68
IU INDIANAPOLIS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Jaguars
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Mastodons
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Jaguars (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim
Mastodons (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u161.5
Loss
Proj Total: 151.0
D
Sim
u161.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 28, 2026
PFW @ IUIN
87 - 81
Feb 15, 2026
IUIN @ PFW
78 - 83
Jan 25, 2025
PFW @ IUIN
91 - 80
Dec 11, 2024
IUIN @ PFW
76 - 78
Feb 10, 2024
PFW @ IUIN
92 - 65
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+51.8% more
IU Indianapolis: 18.9
vs
Purdue Fort Wayne: 12.5
Blocks (L5)
+11.1% more
IU Indianapolis: 2.9
vs
Purdue Fort Wayne: 2.6
Steals (L5)
+16.7% more
Purdue Fort Wayne: 7.4
vs
IU Indianapolis: 6.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PFW Score
75.0
87
IUIN Score
76.0
81
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.2 / 34.2
40.0 / 35.0
Assists
18.9 / 12.5
21.0 / 10.0
Blocks
2.9 / 2.6
1.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
46.9 / 45.8
49.0 / 48.0
Free Throw %
66.0 / 65.2
78.0 / 84.0
Rebounding
29.8 / 31.9
34.0 / 32.0
Steals
6.2 / 7.4
5.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
11.7 / 11.8
14.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PFW
Advantage
17-15-0
(53.1%)
Margin: 1.0
ATS +/-: -3.0
IUIN
--
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PFW
Advantage
12-17-0
(41.4%)
Margin: 1.0
ATS +/-: -3.0
IUIN
--
⚖️ Over/Under
PFW
16-13-0
O: 55.2% / U: 44.8%
Total +/-: -0.7
IUIN
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
IUIN
PFW
IUIN
PFW
ML
69%
22-10
59%
19-13
78%
25-7
74%
23-8
ATS
66%
21-11
62%
20-12
78%
25-7
74%
23-8
TTL
50%
16-16
59%
19-13
100%
32-0
100%
31-0
Contextual Game News
