VMI
KEYDETSVMI
6-24 | Road
79
CHATTANOOGA
MOCSUTC
12-18 | Home
86
AI Model Win Probability
KEYDETS
100%
MOCS
0%
KEYDETS
--
MOCS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
162.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-14.0
CHATTANOOGA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +14.0 points (Chattanooga)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UTC -14.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UTC)
VMI By 1-7 points
5.8%
VMI By 8-14 points
1.4%
UTC By 1-7 points
16.9%
UTC By 8-14 points
26.2%
AI Model Projected Score
VMI
74
VMI
Chattanooga
88
CHATTANOOGA
Simulated Score
VMI
65
VMI
Chattanooga
82
CHATTANOOGA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Mocs
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Mocs
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Mocs (-11.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -14.0
D
Sim
Mocs (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -17.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o153.5
Win
Proj Total: 162.0
D
Sim
u153.5
Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 28, 2026
VMI @ UTC
79 - 86
Jan 3, 2026
UTC @ VMI
71 - 79
Mar 1, 2025
UTC @ VMI
91 - 70
Jan 12, 2025
VMI @ UTC
66 - 91
Feb 8, 2024
UTC @ VMI
88 - 84
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+166.0% more
Chattanooga: 3.8
vs
VMI: 1.4
Assists (L5)
+35.1% more
Chattanooga: 16.1
vs
VMI: 11.9
Turnovers (L5)
+14.8% more
Chattanooga: 10.7
vs
VMI: 9.3
Rebounding (L5)
+12.5% more
Chattanooga: 34.7
vs
VMI: 30.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
VMI Score
74.0
79
UTC Score
88.0
86
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
37.3 / 30.6
39.0 / 34.0
Assists
16.1 / 11.9
13.0 / 11.0
Blocks
3.8 / 1.4
0.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
50.0 / 38.7
50.0 / 42.0
Free Throw %
80.2 / 73.8
75.0 / 67.0
Rebounding
34.7 / 30.9
36.0 / 34.0
Steals
4.2 / 5.9
0.0 / 2.0
Turnovers
10.7 / 9.3
2.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
VMI
6-26-0
(18.8%)
Margin: -8.0
ATS +/-: -5.4
UTC
Advantage
13-19-0
(40.6%)
Margin: 1.4
ATS +/-: -3.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
VMI
9-20-0
(31.0%)
Margin: -8.0
ATS +/-: -5.4
UTC
Advantage
12-17-0
(41.4%)
Margin: 1.4
ATS +/-: -3.7
⚖️ Over/Under
VMI
14-15-0
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7%
Total +/-: -0.1
UTC
16-13-0
O: 55.2% / U: 44.8%
Total +/-: +2.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UTC
VMI
UTC
VMI
ML
48%
15-16
53%
17-15
53%
16-14
84%
27-5
ATS
52%
16-15
50%
16-16
55%
17-14
84%
27-5
TTL
77%
24-7
62%
20-12
100%
31-0
100%
32-0
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