SYRACUSE
ORANGESYR
15-13 | Road
83
WAKE FOREST
DEMON DEACONSWAKE
14-14 | Home
88
AI Model Win Probability
ORANGE
100%
DEMON DEACONS
0%
ORANGE
--
DEMON DEACONS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
140.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
WAKE FOREST
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (Wake Forest)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around WAKE -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WAKE)
SYR By 1-7 points
20.1%
SYR By 8-14 points
9.3%
WAKE By 1-7 points
27.4%
WAKE By 8-14 points
21.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Syracuse
68
SYRACUSE
Wake Forest
72
WAKE FOREST
Simulated Score
Syracuse
72
SYRACUSE
Wake Forest
79
WAKE FOREST
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Demon Deacons
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Demon Deacons
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Demon Deacons (-3.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Sim
Demon Deacons (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u152.5
Loss
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Sim
u152.5
Win
Proj Total: 151.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 28, 2026
SYR @ WAKE
83 - 88
Dec 31, 2024
WAKE @ SYR
81 - 71
Feb 3, 2024
SYR @ WAKE
70 - 99
Mar 8, 2023
WAKE @ SYR
77 - 74
Mar 4, 2023
WAKE @ SYR
63 - 72
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+30.8% more
Wake Forest: 6.1
vs
Syracuse: 4.7
Assists (L5)
+17.6% more
Wake Forest: 12.0
vs
Syracuse: 10.2
Free Throw % (L5)
+15.4%
Wake Forest: 75.6%
vs
Syracuse: 60.2%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+3.5%
Wake Forest: 31.9%
vs
Syracuse: 28.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SYR Score
68.0
83
WAKE Score
72.0
88
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
31.9 / 28.5
56.0 / 50.0
Assists
12.0 / 10.2
19.0 / 16.0
Blocks
2.5 / 6.0
5.0 / 0.0
Field Goal %
41.7 / 44.6
58.0 / 52.0
Free Throw %
75.6 / 60.2
87.0 / 82.0
Rebounding
33.3 / 33.3
30.0 / 18.0
Steals
6.1 / 4.7
6.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
8.1 / 10.3
11.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SYR
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: 0.8
ATS +/-: -1.6
WAKE
Advantage
18-17-0
(51.4%)
Margin: 1.9
ATS +/-: -0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SYR
14-18-0
(43.8%)
Margin: 0.8
ATS +/-: -1.6
WAKE
Advantage
16-18-1
(47.1%)
Margin: 1.9
ATS +/-: -0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
SYR
17-14-1
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2%
Total +/-: +1.6
WAKE
20-15-0
O: 57.1% / U: 42.9%
Total +/-: +1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WAKE
SYR
WAKE
SYR
ML
49%
17-18
78%
25-7
61%
20-13
69%
22-10
ATS
66%
23-12
69%
22-10
61%
20-13
69%
22-10
TTL
60%
21-14
66%
21-11
100%
33-0
100%
32-0
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