OKLAHOMA
SOONERSOU
14-14 | Road
83
LSU
TIGERSLSU
15-13 | Home
67
AI Model Win Probability
SOONERS
100%
TIGERS
0%
SOONERS
--
TIGERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
163.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
LSU
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (LSU)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around LSU -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LSU)
OU By 1-7 points
24.3%
OU By 8-14 points
13.7%
LSU By 1-7 points
26.2%
LSU By 8-14 points
16.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Oklahoma
81
OKLAHOMA
LSU
82
LSU
Simulated Score
Oklahoma
73
OKLAHOMA
LSU
76
LSU
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Tigers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Tigers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Tigers (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim
Tigers (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o156.5
Loss
Proj Total: 163.0
D
Sim
u156.5
Win
Proj Total: 149.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 28, 2026
OU @ LSU
83 - 67
Feb 15, 2025
LSU @ OU
82 - 79
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+42.6% more
LSU: 16.8
vs
Oklahoma: 11.8
Rebounding (L5)
+15.7% more
LSU: 35.5
vs
Oklahoma: 30.7
Free Throw % (L5)
+3.0%
LSU: 78.4%
vs
Oklahoma: 75.3%
Steals (L5)
+27.0% more
Oklahoma: 6.3
vs
LSU: 4.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
OU Score
81.0
83
LSU Score
82.0
67
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
41.6 / 49.4
26.0 / 38.0
Assists
16.8 / 11.8
14.0 / 8.0
Blocks
4.1 / 4.1
4.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
45.5 / 46.9
35.0 / 47.0
Free Throw %
78.4 / 75.3
89.0 / 94.0
Rebounding
35.5 / 30.7
37.0 / 35.0
Steals
4.6 / 6.3
5.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
9.3 / 9.8
10.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
OU
Advantage
21-16-0
(56.8%)
Margin: 5.5
ATS +/-: +0.9
LSU
--
🎯 ATS (Spread)
OU
Advantage
17-19-1
(47.2%)
Margin: 5.5
ATS +/-: +0.9
LSU
--
⚖️ Over/Under
OU
19-18-0
O: 51.3% / U: 48.7%
Total +/-: +1.8
LSU
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LSU
OU
LSU
OU
ML
62%
20-12
78%
28-8
62%
20-12
59%
20-14
ATS
66%
21-11
72%
26-10
62%
20-12
59%
20-14
TTL
72%
23-9
75%
27-9
100%
32-0
100%
34-0
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