ELON
PHOENIXELON
14-15 | Road
57
MONMOUTH
HAWKSMONM
15-14 | Home
73
AI Model Win Probability
PHOENIX
100%
HAWKS
0%
PHOENIX
--
HAWKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
154.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-10.0
MONMOUTH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +10.0 points (Monmouth)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around MONM -10.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MONM)
ELON By 1-7 points
10.7%
ELON By 8-14 points
3.3%
MONM By 1-7 points
23.0%
MONM By 8-14 points
27.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Elon
72
ELON
Monmouth
82
MONMOUTH
Simulated Score
Elon
70
ELON
Monmouth
75
MONMOUTH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Hawks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Hawks
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Hawks (-3.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -10.0
D
Sim
Hawks (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o153.0
Loss
Proj Total: 154.0
D
Sim
u153.0
Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 28, 2026
ELON @ MONM
57 - 73
Feb 27, 2025
ELON @ MONM
76 - 79
Jan 23, 2025
MONM @ ELON
71 - 83
Mar 2, 2024
MONM @ ELON
85 - 70
Feb 18, 2023
ELON @ MONM
75 - 68
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+53.6% more
Monmouth: 12.2
vs
Elon: 8.0
Assists (L5)
+22.9% more
Monmouth: 14.7
vs
Elon: 12.0
Rebounding (L5)
+11.1% more
Monmouth: 35.7
vs
Elon: 32.2
Field Goal % (L5)
+5.5%
Monmouth: 45.5%
vs
Elon: 40.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ELON Score
72.0
57
MONM Score
82.0
73
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.4 / 35.1
38.0 / 22.0
Assists
14.7 / 12.0
15.0 / 14.0
Blocks
2.0 / 2.6
3.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
45.5 / 40.0
45.0 / 41.0
Free Throw %
75.5 / 71.1
88.0 / 81.0
Rebounding
35.7 / 32.2
36.0 / 26.0
Steals
6.5 / 6.1
6.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
12.2 / 8.0
12.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ELON
14-18-0
(43.8%)
Margin: 0.3
ATS +/-: -1.1
MONM
Advantage
19-15-0
(55.9%)
Margin: 1.8
ATS +/-: +1.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ELON
11-19-0
(36.7%)
Margin: 0.3
ATS +/-: -1.1
MONM
Advantage
17-15-1
(53.1%)
Margin: 1.8
ATS +/-: +1.9
⚖️ Over/Under
ELON
16-14-0
O: 53.3% / U: 46.7%
Total +/-: +1.9
MONM
16-17-0
O: 48.5% / U: 51.5%
Total +/-: +0.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MONM
ELON
MONM
ELON
ML
62%
21-13
61%
19-12
64%
21-12
71%
22-9
ATS
62%
21-13
55%
17-14
64%
21-12
71%
22-9
TTL
59%
20-14
52%
16-15
100%
33-0
100%
31-0
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