YOUNGSTOWN STATE
PENGUINSYSU
15-15 | Road
63
GREEN BAY
PHOENIXGB
16-14 | Home
85
AI Model Win Probability
PENGUINS
0%
PHOENIX
100%
PENGUINS
--
PHOENIX
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
137.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.0
YOUNGSTOWN STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.0 points (Youngstown State)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around YSU -5.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (YSU)
YSU By 1-7 points
27.2%
YSU By 8-14 points
23.0%
GB By 1-7 points
18.6%
GB By 8-14 points
8.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Youngstown State
71
YOUNGSTOWN STATE
Green Bay
66
GREEN BAY
Simulated Score
Youngstown State
70
YOUNGSTOWN STATE
Green Bay
75
GREEN BAY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Penguins
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Phoenix
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Penguins (-1.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Sim
Phoenix (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u143.5
Loss
Proj Total: 137.0
D
Sim
u143.5
Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 28, 2026
YSU @ GB
63 - 85
Jan 22, 2026
GB @ YSU
81 - 88
Feb 23, 2025
GB @ YSU
77 - 81
Jan 19, 2025
YSU @ GB
73 - 69
Feb 25, 2024
YSU @ GB
71 - 59
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+48.3% more
Youngstown State: 4.6
vs
Green Bay: 2.4
Turnovers (L5)
+21.3% more
Youngstown State: 13.7
vs
Green Bay: 10.8
Assists (L5)
+17.9% more
Youngstown State: 16.0
vs
Green Bay: 13.1
Rebounding (L5)
+14.5% more
Youngstown State: 34.1
vs
Green Bay: 29.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
YSU Score
71.0
63
GB Score
66.0
85
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
41.5 / 33.0
30.0 / 29.0
Assists
13.1 / 16.0
16.0 / 13.0
Blocks
2.4 / 4.6
2.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
47.2 / 47.6
60.0 / 40.0
Free Throw %
84.9 / 75.1
88.0 / 60.0
Rebounding
29.1 / 34.1
40.0 / 24.0
Steals
6.2 / 6.6
2.0 / 2.0
Turnovers
10.8 / 13.7
6.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
YSU
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: 4.9
ATS +/-: -1.3
GB
Advantage
18-15-0
(54.6%)
Margin: 0.0
ATS +/-: +3.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
YSU
10-18-1
(35.7%)
Margin: 4.9
ATS +/-: -1.3
GB
Advantage
19-12-0
(61.3%)
Margin: 0.0
ATS +/-: +3.2
⚖️ Over/Under
YSU
15-14-0
O: 51.7% / U: 48.3%
Total +/-: +0.2
GB
16-15-0
O: 51.6% / U: 48.4%
Total +/-: +2.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
GB
YSU
GB
YSU
ML
48%
16-17
57%
17-13
67%
22-11
67%
20-10
ATS
52%
17-16
47%
14-16
67%
22-11
67%
20-10
TTL
58%
19-14
60%
18-12
100%
33-0
100%
30-0
Contextual Game News
