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SOUTH CAROLINA STATE

BULLDOGSSCST

7-20  |  Road

57
FINAL
Sat, Feb 28 • 4:30 PM ET
Hytche Center
View Odds Details →

MARYLAND EASTERN SHORE

HAWKSUMES

8-20  |  Home

69
AI Model Win Probability
BULLDOGS
0%
📊
HAWKS
100%
BULLDOGS --
HAWKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
160.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+2.0
MARYLAND EASTERN SHORE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
BulldogsSCST (-3.5) 0 HawksUMES (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Bulldogs Cover

42.1%

Hawks Cover

57.9%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around UMES +2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UMES)

SCST By 1-7 points

26.8%

SCST By 8-14 points

18.6%

UMES By 1-7 points

23.0%

UMES By 8-14 points

12.2%

AI Model Projected Score
81
SOUTH CAROLINA STATE
79
MARYLAND EASTERN SHORE
Simulated Score
68
SOUTH CAROLINA STATE
72
MARYLAND EASTERN SHORE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Bulldogs Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Hawks Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Hawks (+6) Win
Proj Spread: +2.0
D
Sim Hawks (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o132.5 Loss
Proj Total: 160.0
D
Sim u132.5 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 28, 2026 SCST @ UMES 57 - 69
Feb 4, 2026 UMES @ SCST 54 - 63
Feb 24, 2025 SCST @ UMES 81 - 68
Jan 13, 2025 UMES @ SCST 64 - 78
Feb 26, 2024 UMES @ SCST 56 - 64
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +42.5% more
South Carolina State: 3.5 vs Maryland Eastern Shore: 2.0
Steals (L5) +37.4% more
South Carolina State: 7.4 vs Maryland Eastern Shore: 4.7
Assists (L5) +23.7% more
South Carolina State: 15.4 vs Maryland Eastern Shore: 11.8
Field Goal % (L5) +2.9%
South Carolina State: 45.6% vs Maryland Eastern Shore: 42.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SCST Score 81.0 57
UMES Score 79.0 69
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 31.3 / 29.9 25.0 / 22.0
Assists 11.8 / 15.4 16.0 / 6.0
Blocks 2.0 / 3.5 3.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 42.7 / 45.6 45.0 / 33.0
Free Throw % 71.5 / 71.2 63.0 / 77.0
Rebounding 27.9 / 27.5 36.0 / 33.0
Steals 4.7 / 7.4 10.0 / 10.0
Turnovers 16.8 / 13.5 15.0 / 19.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
7%TICKETS93%
11%MONEY89%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
59%TICKETS41%
44%MONEY56%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
65%TICKETS35%
51%MONEY49%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SCST Advantage
10-22-0 (31.3%)
Margin: -11.7 ATS +/-: -0.9
UMES
9-23-0 (28.1%)
Margin: -6.4 ATS +/-: +0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SCST
13-16-1 (44.8%)
Margin: -11.7 ATS +/-: -0.9
UMES Advantage
15-15-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -6.4 ATS +/-: +0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
SCST
14-16-0
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3% Total +/-: +0.6
UMES
14-16-0
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3% Total +/-: +0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UMES
SCST
UMES
SCST
ML
66% 21-11
61% 19-12
81% 21-5
74% 20-7
ATS
69% 22-10
68% 21-10
81% 21-5
74% 20-7
TTL
66% 21-11
52% 16-15
100% 26-0
100% 27-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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