Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Wildcats @ Wolverines ACU @ UVU

ABILENE CHRISTIAN

WILDCATSACU

13-15  |  Road

67
FINAL
Sat, Feb 28 • 4:00 PM ET
UCCU Center
View Odds Details →

UTAH VALLEY

WOLVERINESUVU

21-7  |  Home

74
AI Model Win Probability
WILDCATS
100%
📊
WOLVERINES
0%
WILDCATS --
WOLVERINES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
145.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-19.0
UTAH VALLEY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +19.0 points (Utah Valley)
WildcatsACU (-3.5) 0 WolverinesUVU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Wildcats Cover

2.9%

Wolverines Cover

97.1%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UVU -19.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UVU)

ACU By 1-7 points

2.2%

ACU By 8-14 points

0.4%

UVU By 1-7 points

9.3%

UVU By 8-14 points

20.1%

AI Model Projected Score
63
ABILENE CHRISTIAN
82
UTAH VALLEY
Simulated Score
69
ABILENE CHRISTIAN
73
UTAH VALLEY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Wolverines Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Wolverines Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Wolverines (-14.5) Win
Proj Spread: -19.0
D
Sim Wolverines (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o140.5 Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Sim u140.5 Win
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 28, 2026 ACU @ UVU 67 - 74
Feb 5, 2026 ACU @ UVU 55 - 68
Jan 3, 2026 UVU @ ACU 68 - 85
Mar 6, 2025 UVU @ ACU 73 - 60
Jan 4, 2025 ACU @ UVU 53 - 64
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +327.1% more
Utah Valley: 6.6 vs Abilene Christian: 1.6
Assists (L5) +29.6% more
Utah Valley: 16.5 vs Abilene Christian: 12.7
Rebounding (L5) +26.9% more
Utah Valley: 37.7 vs Abilene Christian: 29.7
Steals (L5) +10.8% more
Abilene Christian: 10.3 vs Utah Valley: 9.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
ACU Score 63.0 67
UVU Score 82.0 74
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 23.9 / 26.7 44.0 / 39.0
Assists 16.5 / 12.7 18.0 / 14.0
Blocks 6.6 / 1.6 8.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 47.1 / 46.0 57.0 / 38.0
Free Throw % 67.3 / 74.8 60.0 / 83.0
Rebounding 37.7 / 29.7 28.0 / 32.0
Steals 9.2 / 10.3 11.0 / 13.0
Turnovers 11.8 / 12.7 17.0 / 18.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
1%TICKETS99%
10%MONEY90%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
43%TICKETS57%
43%MONEY57%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
64%TICKETS36%
52%MONEY48%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ACU
14-19-0 (42.4%)
Margin: -2.1 ATS +/-: -2.6
UVU Advantage
25-9-0 (73.5%)
Margin: 11.4 ATS +/-: -0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ACU Advantage
13-16-1 (44.8%)
Margin: -2.1 ATS +/-: -2.6
UVU
13-18-0 (41.9%)
Margin: 11.4 ATS +/-: -0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
ACU
17-13-0
O: 56.7% / U: 43.3% Total +/-: +1.4
UVU
17-14-0
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2% Total +/-: +1.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UVU
ACU
UVU
ACU
ML
56% 18-14
67% 22-11
72% 23-9
70% 23-10
ATS
53% 17-15
55% 18-15
74% 25-9
70% 23-10
TTL
44% 14-18
58% 19-14
100% 34-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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