Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Lumberjacks @ Eagles NAU @ EWU

NORTHERN ARIZONA

LUMBERJACKSNAU

10-19  |  Road

57
FINAL
Sat, Feb 28 • 4:00 PM ET
Reese Court
View Odds Details →

EASTERN WASHINGTON

EAGLESEWU

12-17  |  Home

88
AI Model Win Probability
LUMBERJACKS
100%
📊
EAGLES
0%
LUMBERJACKS --
EAGLES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
139.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-9.0
EASTERN WASHINGTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +9.0 points (Eastern Washington)
LumberjacksNAU (-3.5) 0 EaglesEWU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Lumberjacks Cover

18.4%

Eagles Cover

81.6%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around EWU -9.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (EWU)

NAU By 1-7 points

12.2%

NAU By 8-14 points

4.0%

EWU By 1-7 points

24.3%

EWU By 8-14 points

26.8%

AI Model Projected Score
65
NORTHERN ARIZONA
74
EASTERN WASHINGTON
Simulated Score
72
NORTHERN ARIZONA
78
EASTERN WASHINGTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Eagles Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Eagles Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Eagles (+9.5) Win
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Sim Eagles (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u147.5 Win
Proj Total: 139.0
D
Sim u147.5 Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 28, 2026 NAU @ EWU 57 - 88
Jan 29, 2026 EWU @ NAU 86 - 92
Mar 8, 2025 EWU @ NAU 53 - 66
Feb 22, 2025 EWU @ NAU 67 - 87
Jan 23, 2025 NAU @ EWU 70 - 61
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +85.1% more
Eastern Washington: 5.1 vs Northern Arizona: 2.8
Assists (L5) +55.6% more
Eastern Washington: 15.3 vs Northern Arizona: 9.8
Turnovers (L5) +24.8% more
Eastern Washington: 10.4 vs Northern Arizona: 8.3
Rebounding (L5) +20.4% more
Eastern Washington: 32.9 vs Northern Arizona: 27.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NAU Score 65.0 57
EWU Score 74.0 88
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 31.4 / 36.4 50.0 / 43.0
Assists 15.3 / 9.8 21.0 / 13.0
Blocks 5.1 / 2.8 3.0 / 5.0
Field Goal % 52.8 / 43.4 64.0 / 45.0
Free Throw % 77.9 / 71.7 55.0 / 38.0
Rebounding 32.9 / 27.4 34.0 / 20.0
Steals 6.4 / 6.2 11.0 / 9.0
Turnovers 10.4 / 8.3 11.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
3%TICKETS97%
32%MONEY68%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
43%TICKETS57%
47%MONEY53%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
44%TICKETS56%
70%MONEY30%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NAU
10-22-0 (31.3%)
Margin: -5.1 ATS +/-: -2.7
EWU Advantage
14-19-0 (42.4%)
Margin: -0.9 ATS +/-: +2.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NAU
14-15-0 (48.3%)
Margin: -5.1 ATS +/-: -2.7
EWU Advantage
19-13-0 (59.4%)
Margin: -0.9 ATS +/-: +2.6
⚖️ Over/Under
NAU
11-18-0
O: 37.9% / U: 62.1% Total +/-: -2.3
EWU
19-13-0
O: 59.4% / U: 40.6% Total +/-: +3.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
EWU
NAU
EWU
NAU
ML
64% 21-12
62% 20-12
69% 22-10
81% 26-6
ATS
64% 21-12
62% 20-12
69% 22-10
81% 26-6
TTL
48% 16-17
66% 21-11
100% 32-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Houston Cougars Survive Georgia Southern Scare: Offensive Firepo…
si 1 week, 4 days ago
DeVonta Smith's Star Turn Lifts Eagles Over Titans in Thrilling …
crossingbroad 2 weeks, 4 days ago
Southern Miss Adds Sharpshooter Elliot Tulip to Bolster Perimete…
si 2 weeks, 6 days ago
New Mexico Lobos to Host Washington State and Arizona State in P…
yahoo 3 weeks ago
NC State Basketball: Justin Gainey Era Begins with 32-Game Slate…
si 4 weeks ago