AI Model Win Probability
HUSKIES
100%
PIRATES
0%
HUSKIES
--
PIRATES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
145.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.0
HAMPTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.0 points (Hampton)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around HAMP -7.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (HAMP)
NE By 1-7 points
15.3%
NE By 8-14 points
5.8%
HAMP By 1-7 points
26.2%
HAMP By 8-14 points
25.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Northeastern
69
NORTHEASTERN
Hampton
76
HAMPTON
Simulated Score
Northeastern
68
NORTHEASTERN
Hampton
72
HAMPTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Pirates
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Pirates
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Pirates (-4.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Sim
Pirates (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u146.5
Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Sim
u146.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 28, 2026
NE @ HAMP
65 - 76
Mar 8, 2025
HAMP @ NE
70 - 65
Feb 8, 2025
HAMP @ NE
84 - 75
Jan 30, 2025
NE @ HAMP
78 - 69
Feb 24, 2024
HAMP @ NE
62 - 70
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+34.3% more
Hampton: 6.8
vs
Northeastern: 5.0
Blocks (L5)
+19.9% more
Hampton: 2.4
vs
Northeastern: 2.0
Free Throw % (L5)
+4.0%
Hampton: 72.7%
vs
Northeastern: 68.7%
Assists (L5)
+16.2% more
Northeastern: 15.2
vs
Hampton: 12.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NE Score
69.0
65
HAMP Score
76.0
76
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
32.1 / 31.8
27.0 / 15.0
Assists
12.7 / 15.2
8.0 / 9.0
Blocks
2.4 / 2.0
1.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
38.8 / 44.3
51.0 / 39.0
Free Throw %
72.7 / 68.7
78.0 / 67.0
Rebounding
31.7 / 34.8
33.0 / 38.0
Steals
6.8 / 5.0
5.0 / 1.0
Turnovers
11.9 / 13.5
4.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NE
7-24-0
(22.6%)
Margin: -6.1
ATS +/-: -2.2
HAMP
Advantage
13-19-0
(40.6%)
Margin: -0.8
ATS +/-: -0.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NE
11-20-0
(35.5%)
Margin: -6.1
ATS +/-: -2.2
HAMP
Advantage
16-13-0
(55.2%)
Margin: -0.8
ATS +/-: -0.5
⚖️ Over/Under
NE
20-11-0
O: 64.5% / U: 35.5%
Total +/-: +7.6
HAMP
14-15-0
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7%
Total +/-: +1.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
HAMP
NE
HAMP
NE
ML
53%
17-15
70%
21-9
75%
24-8
60%
18-12
ATS
50%
16-16
63%
19-11
75%
24-8
60%
18-12
TTL
68%
21-10-1
53%
16-14
100%
32-0
100%
30-0